C Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 31 trades in period
+1.76%
Year to Date Return
$13,124.18
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$12,896.92
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
32.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 31.9
30-Day Momentum
64
+12.9%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 82.8
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,894
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,896.92
Current Value
$13,124.18
Period P&L
$227.25
Max Drawdown
-21.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
19 /
12
Best Trade
+4.57%
Worst Trade
-5.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$758,489.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$227.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$227.25
Gross Return
+1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,896.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $117.64 | 109 | $12,822.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.20 | 109 | $13,210.80 | $13,284.97 |
+$388.04 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $123.73 | 107 | $13,239.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.20 | 107 | $12,539.87 | $12,585.72 |
$-699.25 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $117.30 | 107 | $12,551.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $113.76 | 107 | $12,171.79 | $12,206.41 |
$-379.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $115.81 | 105 | $12,160.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.03 | 105 | $12,498.15 | $12,544.51 |
+$338.10 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $116.19 | 107 | $12,432.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $112.68 | 107 | $12,056.23 | $12,168.29 |
$-376.21 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $114.88 | 105 | $12,062.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $114.97 | 105 | $12,071.33 | $12,177.22 |
+$8.93 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $114.88 | 106 | $12,176.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.77 | 106 | $12,271.62 | $12,272.09 |
+$94.87 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $117.18 | 104 | $12,187.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $119.57 | 104 | $12,435.28 | $12,520.13 |
+$248.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $113.63 | 110 | $12,498.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $115.92 | 110 | $12,751.20 | $12,772.58 |
+$252.45 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $124.05 | 102 | $12,653.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $121.55 | 102 | $12,398.10 | $12,517.58 |
$-255.00 (-2.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $113.18 | 110 | $12,449.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.46 | 110 | $12,700.60 | $12,768.25 |
+$250.67 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $114.81 | 111 | $12,743.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $110.97 | 111 | $12,318.22 | $12,343.12 |
$-425.13 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $108.54 | 113 | $12,265.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.07 | 113 | $12,663.91 | $12,742.01 |
+$398.89 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $114.88 | 110 | $12,636.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $110.94 | 110 | $12,203.95 | $12,309.16 |
$-432.85 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $110.82 | 111 | $12,301.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $107.47 | 111 | $11,929.17 | $11,937.31 |
$-371.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $111.32 | 107 | $11,911.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $107.93 | 107 | $11,549.04 | $11,574.58 |
$-362.73 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $103.47 | 111 | $11,485.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $106.11 | 111 | $11,778.76 | $11,868.17 |
+$293.59 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $109.36 | 108 | $11,810.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.75 | 108 | $11,421.00 | $11,478.83 |
$-389.34 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $107.07 | 107 | $11,456.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $109.46 | 107 | $11,711.69 | $11,734.03 |
+$255.20 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $108.72 | 107 | $11,633.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $110.92 | 107 | $11,868.44 | $11,969.43 |
+$235.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $111.32 | 107 | $11,911.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $113.56 | 107 | $12,150.92 | $12,209.11 |
+$239.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $114.38 | 106 | $12,124.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.08 | 106 | $11,668.49 | $11,753.32 |
$-455.79 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $108.25 | 108 | $11,690.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $110.47 | 108 | $11,930.76 | $11,993.62 |
+$240.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $115.69 | 103 | $11,916.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $112.10 | 103 | $11,546.30 | $11,623.85 |
$-369.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.54 | 99 | $11,537.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.87 | 99 | $12,065.13 | $12,151.52 |
+$527.67 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $122.94 | 98 | $12,048.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $125.40 | 98 | $12,289.69 | $12,393.09 |
+$241.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $130.32 | 95 | $12,380.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $133.07 | 95 | $12,641.65 | $12,654.34 |
+$261.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $132.53 | 95 | $12,590.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $128.24 | 95 | $12,182.80 | $12,246.79 |
$-407.55 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $128.22 | 95 | $12,180.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $131.10 | 95 | $12,454.50 | $12,520.39 |
+$273.60 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $127.15 | 98 | $12,460.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $130.35 | 98 | $12,774.30 | $12,833.99 |
+$313.60 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $125.63 | 102 | $12,814.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $128.48 | 102 | $13,104.45 | $13,124.18 |
+$290.19 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,124.18
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,124.18
Total Return:
+31.24%