COST Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 34 trades in period
+2.48%
Year to Date Return
$12,284.25
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$11,986.93
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
29.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 28.9
30-Day Momentum
3
-8.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,987
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
121 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,986.93
Current Value
$12,284.25
Period P&L
$297.31
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
20 /
14
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$834,999.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$297.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$297.31
Gross Return
+2.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 121 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,986.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $855.34 | 14 | $11,974.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $873.27 | 14 | $12,225.78 | $12,237.96 |
+$251.02 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $883.77 | 13 | $11,489.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $908.43 | 13 | $11,809.59 | $12,558.51 |
+$320.56 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $923.97 | 13 | $12,011.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $943.19 | 13 | $12,261.41 | $12,808.31 |
+$249.79 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $941.01 | 13 | $12,233.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $960.19 | 13 | $12,482.47 | $13,057.65 |
+$249.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $974.43 | 13 | $12,667.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $977.46 | 13 | $12,706.98 | $13,097.04 |
+$39.39 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $968.81 | 13 | $12,594.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $935.56 | 13 | $12,162.28 | $12,664.85 |
$-432.19 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $962.25 | 13 | $12,509.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $981.66 | 13 | $12,761.58 | $12,917.18 |
+$252.33 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $991.04 | 13 | $12,883.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $993.82 | 13 | $12,919.60 | $12,953.26 |
+$36.08 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,021.87 | 12 | $12,262.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $990.81 | 12 | $11,889.72 | $12,580.51 |
$-372.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $980.66 | 12 | $11,767.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,000.74 | 12 | $12,008.88 | $12,821.47 |
+$240.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $999.68 | 12 | $11,996.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,009.01 | 12 | $12,108.12 | $12,933.43 |
+$111.96 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,010.88 | 12 | $12,130.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $979.97 | 12 | $11,759.70 | $12,562.57 |
$-370.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $996.11 | 12 | $11,953.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $995.72 | 12 | $11,948.65 | $12,557.90 |
$-4.67 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $999.49 | 12 | $11,993.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1,004.98 | 12 | $12,059.82 | $12,623.84 |
+$65.94 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $984.80 | 12 | $11,817.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 2:15pm ET | $968.73 | 12 | $11,624.76 | $12,431.00 |
$-192.84 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:15pm ET | $975.89 | 12 | $11,710.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $989.85 | 12 | $11,878.20 | $12,598.58 |
+$167.58 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $999.00 | 12 | $11,988.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.26 | 12 | $12,147.12 | $12,757.70 |
+$159.12 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,015.35 | 12 | $12,184.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,035.70 | 12 | $12,428.40 | $13,001.90 |
+$244.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $997.79 | 13 | $12,971.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $967.06 | 13 | $12,571.78 | $12,602.41 |
$-399.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $981.81 | 12 | $11,781.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,006.20 | 12 | $12,074.40 | $12,895.09 |
+$292.68 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $988.96 | 13 | $12,856.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,010.81 | 13 | $13,140.53 | $13,179.14 |
+$284.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,009.64 | 13 | $13,125.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $987.51 | 13 | $12,837.57 | $12,891.38 |
$-287.76 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,012.20 | 12 | $12,146.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,011.07 | 12 | $12,132.78 | $12,877.76 |
$-13.62 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $994.20 | 12 | $11,930.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,014.53 | 12 | $12,174.30 | $13,121.66 |
+$243.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $991.69 | 13 | $12,891.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,011.88 | 13 | $13,154.44 | $13,384.13 |
+$262.47 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,033.94 | 12 | $12,407.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,056.76 | 12 | $12,681.12 | $13,657.91 |
+$273.78 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $1,067.65 | 12 | $12,811.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,089.00 | 12 | $13,068.00 | $13,914.16 |
+$256.25 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,084.27 | 12 | $13,011.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,044.43 | 12 | $12,533.16 | $13,436.14 |
$-478.02 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,038.32 | 12 | $12,459.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,001.01 | 12 | $12,012.06 | $12,988.30 |
$-447.84 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,004.60 | 12 | $12,055.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $973.12 | 12 | $11,677.44 | $12,610.54 |
$-377.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $948.51 | 13 | $12,330.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $967.79 | 13 | $12,581.27 | $12,861.18 |
+$250.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $985.46 | 13 | $12,810.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $971.42 | 13 | $12,628.46 | $12,678.66 |
$-182.52 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $978.30 | 12 | $11,739.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $976.05 | 12 | $11,712.60 | $12,651.60 |
$-27.06 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $987.74 | 12 | $11,852.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.13 | 12 | $11,485.56 | $12,284.25 |
$-367.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,284.25
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,284.25
Total Return:
+22.84%