Compendium › Rebel Contraire › COST
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COST
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 23 trades in period

+7.43%
Year to Date Return
$12,877.76
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$11,986.93
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 32.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 32.0

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.9 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,669
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,986.93
Current Value
$12,877.76
Period P&L
$890.82
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
15 / 8
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-3.43%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$562,989.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$890.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$890.82
Gross Return
+7.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,986.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $855.34 14 $11,974.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $873.27 14 $12,225.78 $12,237.96 +$251.02
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $883.77 13 $11,489.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $908.43 13 $11,809.59 $12,558.51 +$320.56
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $923.97 13 $12,011.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $943.19 13 $12,261.41 $12,808.31 +$249.79
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $941.01 13 $12,233.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $960.19 13 $12,482.47 $13,057.65 +$249.34
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $974.43 13 $12,667.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $977.46 13 $12,706.98 $13,097.04 +$39.39
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $968.81 13 $12,594.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $935.56 13 $12,162.28 $12,664.85 $-432.19
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $962.25 13 $12,509.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET $981.66 13 $12,761.58 $12,917.18 +$252.33
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $991.04 13 $12,883.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $993.82 13 $12,919.60 $12,953.26 +$36.08
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $1,021.87 12 $12,262.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $990.81 12 $11,889.72 $12,580.51 $-372.75
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $980.66 12 $11,767.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET $1,000.74 12 $12,008.88 $12,821.47 +$240.96
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET $999.68 12 $11,996.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:00am ET $1,009.01 12 $12,108.12 $12,933.43 +$111.96
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,010.88 12 $12,130.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET $979.97 12 $11,759.70 $12,562.57 $-370.86
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:40am ET $996.11 12 $11,953.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $995.72 12 $11,948.65 $12,557.90 $-4.67
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $999.49 12 $11,993.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,004.98 12 $12,059.82 $12,623.84 +$65.94
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $984.80 12 $11,817.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $968.73 12 $11,624.76 $12,431.00 $-192.84
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:15pm ET $975.89 12 $11,710.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $989.85 12 $11,878.20 $12,598.58 +$167.58
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $999.00 12 $11,988.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.26 12 $12,147.12 $12,757.70 +$159.12
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $1,015.35 12 $12,184.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,035.70 12 $12,428.40 $13,001.90 +$244.20
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $997.79 13 $12,971.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $967.06 13 $12,571.78 $12,602.41 $-399.49
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $981.81 12 $11,781.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,006.20 12 $12,074.40 $12,895.09 +$292.68
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $988.96 13 $12,856.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,010.81 13 $13,140.53 $13,179.14 +$284.05
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET $1,009.64 13 $13,125.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $987.51 13 $12,837.57 $12,891.38 $-287.76
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $1,012.20 12 $12,146.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $1,011.07 12 $12,132.78 $12,877.76 $-13.62
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,877.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,877.76
Total Return: +28.78%
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