Compendium › Rebel Contraire › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+12.03%
Year to Date Return
$19,279.62
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$17,209.96
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.4/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 70.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 69.9

30-Day Momentum

51
+8.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,209.96
Current Value
$19,279.62
Period P&L
$2,069.71
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+2.89%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$856,672.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,069.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,069.71
Gross Return
+12.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,209.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $77.24 223 $17,223.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $76.59 223 $17,079.57 $17,091.71 $-143.83
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET $75.44 226 $17,048.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $73.42 226 $16,592.92 $16,636.32 $-455.39
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET $74.76 222 $16,595.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $74.56 222 $16,551.21 $16,591.92 $-44.40
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $73.97 224 $16,568.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $76.10 224 $17,046.40 $17,070.16 +$478.24
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:55am ET $78.23 218 $17,054.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $78.11 218 $17,027.98 $17,044.00 $-26.16
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $82.32 207 $17,041.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $84.02 207 $17,392.14 $17,394.86 +$350.86
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $81.93 212 $17,370.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $83.91 212 $17,788.92 $17,813.57 +$418.70
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET $85.66 207 $17,731.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $87.77 207 $18,168.53 $18,250.48 +$436.91
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $76.70 237 $18,177.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $78.24 237 $18,542.90 $18,615.48 +$365.00
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.89 235 $18,537.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $78.25 235 $18,388.75 $18,466.25 $-149.23
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $78.68 234 $18,409.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $78.57 234 $18,385.38 $18,441.68 $-24.57
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET $79.68 231 $18,404.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $77.01 231 $17,789.54 $17,826.30 $-615.38
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET $78.10 228 $17,806.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $78.98 228 $18,007.44 $18,026.94 +$200.64
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $79.31 227 $18,003.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $78.51 227 $17,821.77 $17,845.34 $-181.60
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $78.13 228 $17,813.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:30am ET $79.75 228 $18,183.00 $18,214.70 +$369.36
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET $82.33 221 $18,196.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:15am ET $79.80 221 $17,635.80 $17,654.47 $-560.23
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET $78.32 225 $17,620.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $79.22 225 $17,825.62 $17,859.22 +$204.75
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $80.12 222 $17,786.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $82.31 222 $18,271.71 $18,344.29 +$485.07
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $84.35 217 $18,303.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $81.73 217 $17,735.41 $17,775.75 $-568.54
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET $81.65 217 $17,718.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $83.34 217 $18,084.78 $18,142.48 +$366.73
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $85.48 212 $18,121.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET $87.22 212 $18,490.64 $18,511.36 +$368.88
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $88.92 208 $18,494.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $88.77 208 $18,464.16 $18,481.20 $-30.16
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $87.46 211 $18,454.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $89.32 211 $18,846.52 $18,873.66 +$392.46
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:00am ET $92.31 204 $18,831.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $94.30 204 $19,237.20 $19,279.62 +$405.96
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,279.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,279.62
Total Return: +92.80%
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