CSCO Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 35 trades in period
+20.94%
Year to Date Return
$20,814.05
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$17,209.96
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
72
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
6.2/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
72.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 71.9
30-Day Momentum
30
+4.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.1
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,174
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
119 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$17,209.96
Current Value
$20,814.05
Period P&L
$3,604.14
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
21 /
14
Best Trade
+2.89%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,309,922.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,604.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,604.14
Gross Return
+20.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 119 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,209.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $77.24 | 223 | $17,223.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.59 | 223 | $17,079.57 | $17,091.71 |
$-143.83 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $75.44 | 226 | $17,048.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.42 | 226 | $16,592.92 | $16,636.32 |
$-455.39 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $74.76 | 222 | $16,595.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.56 | 222 | $16,551.21 | $16,591.92 |
$-44.40 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $73.97 | 224 | $16,568.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.10 | 224 | $17,046.40 | $17,070.16 |
+$478.24 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $78.23 | 218 | $17,054.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.11 | 218 | $17,027.98 | $17,044.00 |
$-26.16 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $82.32 | 207 | $17,041.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $84.02 | 207 | $17,392.14 | $17,394.86 |
+$350.86 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $81.93 | 212 | $17,370.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.91 | 212 | $17,788.92 | $17,813.57 |
+$418.70 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $85.66 | 207 | $17,731.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.77 | 207 | $18,168.53 | $18,250.48 |
+$436.91 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $76.70 | 237 | $18,177.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $78.24 | 237 | $18,542.90 | $18,615.48 |
+$365.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $78.89 | 235 | $18,537.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $78.25 | 235 | $18,388.75 | $18,466.25 |
$-149.23 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.68 | 234 | $18,409.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.57 | 234 | $18,385.38 | $18,441.68 |
$-24.57 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $79.68 | 231 | $18,404.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.01 | 231 | $17,789.54 | $17,826.30 |
$-615.38 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.10 | 228 | $17,806.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.98 | 228 | $18,007.44 | $18,026.94 |
+$200.64 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $79.31 | 227 | $18,003.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.51 | 227 | $17,821.77 | $17,845.34 |
$-181.60 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.13 | 228 | $17,813.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $79.75 | 228 | $18,183.00 | $18,214.70 |
+$369.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $82.33 | 221 | $18,196.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $79.80 | 221 | $17,635.80 | $17,654.47 |
$-560.23 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $78.32 | 225 | $17,620.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.22 | 225 | $17,825.62 | $17,859.22 |
+$204.75 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $80.12 | 222 | $17,786.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.31 | 222 | $18,271.71 | $18,344.29 |
+$485.07 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $84.35 | 217 | $18,303.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $81.73 | 217 | $17,735.41 | $17,775.75 |
$-568.54 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $81.65 | 217 | $17,718.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $83.34 | 217 | $18,084.78 | $18,142.48 |
+$366.73 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $85.48 | 212 | $18,121.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $87.22 | 212 | $18,490.64 | $18,511.36 |
+$368.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $88.92 | 208 | $18,494.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.77 | 208 | $18,464.16 | $18,481.20 |
$-30.16 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.46 | 211 | $18,454.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $89.32 | 211 | $18,846.52 | $18,873.66 |
+$392.46 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.31 | 204 | $18,831.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $94.30 | 204 | $19,237.20 | $19,279.62 |
+$405.96 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $91.29 | 211 | $19,262.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.33 | 211 | $19,692.71 | $19,710.14 |
+$430.52 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:20pm ET | $97.86 | 201 | $19,670.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $99.85 | 201 | $20,069.85 | $20,109.13 |
+$398.99 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $114.36 | 175 | $20,013.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $116.79 | 175 | $20,439.12 | $20,535.25 |
+$426.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $117.67 | 174 | $20,473.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $114.65 | 174 | $19,949.10 | $20,010.64 |
$-524.61 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $117.81 | 169 | $19,909.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $120.39 | 169 | $20,345.91 | $20,446.66 |
+$436.02 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $117.87 | 173 | $20,391.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $120.27 | 173 | $20,806.71 | $20,861.86 |
+$415.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $119.09 | 175 | $20,840.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $121.72 | 175 | $21,301.00 | $21,322.11 |
+$460.25 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $126.26 | 168 | $21,211.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $128.79 | 168 | $21,636.74 | $21,747.17 |
+$425.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $125.32 | 173 | $21,680.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $121.24 | 173 | $20,974.52 | $21,041.33 |
$-705.84 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $119.69 | 175 | $20,945.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $122.19 | 175 | $21,383.25 | $21,478.69 |
+$437.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $121.23 | 177 | $21,457.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $117.47 | 177 | $20,793.07 | $20,814.05 |
$-664.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,814.05
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,814.05
Total Return:
+108.14%