Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.2/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 69.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 68.6

30-Day Momentum

13
-1.2%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,374
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,770.50
Current Value
$20,718.16
Period P&L
$3,947.67
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
21 / 7
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.80%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,076,382.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,947.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,947.67
Gross Return
+23.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,770.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 12:05pm ET $151.69 110 $16,685.90
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $154.75 110 $17,021.95 $17,037.23 +$336.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $164.12 103 $16,903.85
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET $159.09 103 $16,386.27 $16,519.65 $-517.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET $156.31 105 $16,412.55
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $159.64 105 $16,761.68 $16,868.78 +$349.12
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET $162.27 103 $16,713.81
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET $165.73 103 $17,070.19 $17,225.16 +$356.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:45am ET $166.82 103 $17,182.46
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $165.65 103 $17,061.95 $17,104.65 $-120.51
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET $167.17 102 $17,051.34
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $167.38 102 $17,072.76 $17,126.07 +$21.42
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET $167.73 102 $17,108.46
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $173.87 102 $17,734.74 $17,752.35 +$626.28
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET $172.80 102 $17,625.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $176.31 102 $17,983.62 $18,110.37 +$358.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $181.70 99 $17,988.30
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $182.18 99 $18,035.82 $18,157.89 +$47.52
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $182.37 99 $18,054.63
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET $186.37 99 $18,450.63 $18,553.89 +$396.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $179.26 103 $18,463.78
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $183.05 103 $18,854.15 $18,944.26 +$390.37
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET $186.97 101 $18,883.97
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $184.54 101 $18,639.04 $18,699.33 $-244.93
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $183.29 102 $18,695.07
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $187.04 102 $19,077.57 $19,081.83 +$382.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $188.21 101 $19,009.21
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 101 $19,291.00 $19,363.62 +$281.79
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $186.41 103 $19,200.74
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $190.15 103 $19,585.96 $19,748.84 +$385.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $197.75 99 $19,577.25
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $198.61 99 $19,662.39 $19,833.98 +$85.14
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET $201.15 98 $19,712.69
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $206.91 98 $20,277.18 $20,398.47 +$564.49
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $205.61 99 $20,355.39
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $210.44 99 $20,833.56 $20,876.64 +$478.17
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET $213.82 97 $20,740.54
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $207.20 97 $20,098.40 $20,234.50 $-642.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $196.34 103 $20,223.02
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $203.54 103 $20,964.74 $20,976.22 +$741.72
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $198.16 105 $20,806.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $202.14 105 $21,224.70 $21,394.12 +$417.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $190.47 112 $21,332.64
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $194.31 112 $21,762.72 $21,824.20 +$430.08
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $189.88 114 $21,646.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $186.31 114 $21,239.34 $21,417.22 $-406.98
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $185.91 115 $21,379.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 115 $20,677.00 $20,714.57 $-702.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET $184.82 112 $20,700.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $188.92 112 $21,159.04 $21,173.21 +$458.64
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $186.56 113 $21,081.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $188.25 113 $21,272.25 $21,364.18 +$190.97
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $191.82 111 $21,292.02
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.62 111 $21,380.82 $21,452.98 +$88.80
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
28 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $192.39 111 $21,355.29
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $185.77 111 $20,620.47 $20,718.16 $-734.82
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,718.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,718.16
Total Return: +107.18%
Back to Rebel Contraire