Compendium › Rebel Contraire › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+7.56%
Year to Date Return
$13,846.95
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,873.65
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 44.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 43.1

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,254
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,873.65
Current Value
$13,846.95
Period P&L
$973.30
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
12 / 12
Best Trade
+2.49%
Worst Trade
-3.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$651,299.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$973.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$973.30
Gross Return
+7.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,873.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:50am ET $206.88 62 $12,826.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $204.23 62 $12,662.26 $12,703.15 $-164.30
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET $205.59 61 $12,540.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $204.38 61 $12,467.18 $12,629.34 $-73.81
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $212.63 59 $12,544.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:15am ET $216.97 59 $12,801.23 $12,885.69 +$256.36
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $216.95 59 $12,799.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET $216.17 59 $12,754.03 $12,839.97 $-45.73
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $215.73 59 $12,728.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $221.11 59 $13,045.49 $13,157.24 +$317.27
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $219.46 59 $12,948.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $223.93 59 $13,211.87 $13,420.97 +$263.73
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $226.54 59 $13,366.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $229.52 59 $13,541.68 $13,596.64 +$175.67
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET $233.17 58 $13,523.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $238.07 58 $13,808.35 $13,881.13 +$284.49
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET $239.26 58 $13,877.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $238.63 58 $13,840.54 $13,844.30 $-36.83
(-0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $243.44 56 $13,632.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $242.60 56 $13,585.60 $13,797.26 $-47.04
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET $246.74 55 $13,570.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $249.38 55 $13,716.17 $13,942.73 +$145.47
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $245.34 56 $13,739.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET $237.65 56 $13,308.12 $13,511.81 $-430.92
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $238.62 56 $13,362.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $243.59 56 $13,640.76 $13,789.85 +$278.04
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $243.68 56 $13,646.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $244.77 56 $13,707.12 $13,850.89 +$61.04
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $240.86 57 $13,729.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $237.12 57 $13,515.84 $13,637.71 $-213.18
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 58 $13,538.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $238.34 58 $13,823.72 $13,922.49 +$284.78
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET $239.88 58 $13,913.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $244.89 58 $14,203.62 $14,213.07 +$290.58
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:00am ET $244.96 58 $14,207.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $242.67 58 $14,074.86 $14,080.25 $-132.82
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET $238.35 59 $14,062.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $243.60 59 $14,372.28 $14,389.88 +$309.63
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $239.69 60 $14,381.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET $239.35 60 $14,361.00 $14,369.48 $-20.40
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $235.13 61 $14,343.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.15 61 $13,856.15 $13,882.39 $-487.09
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $226.34 61 $13,806.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $230.88 61 $14,083.98 $14,159.63 +$277.24
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.71 62 $14,118.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.66 62 $14,114.91 $14,156.52 $-3.11
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:10am ET $228.73 61 $13,952.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $223.65 61 $13,642.95 $13,846.95 $-309.57
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,846.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,846.95
Total Return: +38.47%
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