PFE Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
-2.57%
Year to Date Return
$7,841.64
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,048.67
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
8.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 8.5
30-Day Momentum
3
-5.0%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,520
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,048.67
Current Value
$7,841.64
Period P&L
$-206.97
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
15 /
15
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$501,939.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-206.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-206.97
Gross Return
-2.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,048.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.96 | 323 | $8,060.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.33 | 323 | $8,179.98 | $8,185.93 |
+$119.51 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.71 | 318 | $8,174.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.33 | 318 | $8,054.94 | $8,066.68 |
$-119.25 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.14 | 320 | $8,043.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $25.64 | 320 | $8,204.80 | $8,228.28 |
+$161.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.81 | 318 | $8,207.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.48 | 318 | $8,101.05 | $8,121.75 |
$-106.53 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.81 | 314 | $8,104.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.82 | 314 | $8,106.54 | $8,123.91 |
+$2.17 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $26.46 | 307 | $8,121.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 307 | $8,141.64 | $8,143.87 |
+$19.96 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $25.67 | 317 | $8,137.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.33 | 317 | $8,348.19 | $8,354.70 |
+$210.84 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.93 | 310 | $8,349.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.27 | 310 | $8,455.25 | $8,460.10 |
+$105.40 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.74 | 305 | $8,459.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.86 | 305 | $8,193.82 | $8,194.75 |
$-265.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.38 | 310 | $8,178.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $26.97 | 310 | $8,359.15 | $8,375.26 |
+$180.51 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $27.23 | 307 | $8,358.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.57 | 307 | $8,463.99 | $8,481.17 |
+$105.91 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.65 | 318 | $8,474.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.88 | 318 | $8,547.81 | $8,554.28 |
+$73.11 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $27.11 | 315 | $8,539.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.73 | 315 | $8,419.95 | $8,434.58 |
$-119.70 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.65 | 318 | $8,474.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.05 | 318 | $8,601.90 | $8,561.78 |
+$127.20 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 322 | $8,539.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $27.08 | 322 | $8,721.37 | $8,743.71 |
+$181.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.38 | 319 | $8,734.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.51 | 319 | $8,777.28 | $8,786.55 |
+$42.84 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $28.18 | 311 | $8,765.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $28.06 | 311 | $8,726.66 | $8,747.68 |
$-38.88 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.00 | 323 | $8,721.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.87 | 323 | $8,679.01 | $8,705.69 |
$-41.99 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $27.24 | 319 | $8,689.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.60 | 319 | $8,804.40 | $8,820.53 |
+$114.84 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.25 | 323 | $8,801.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.40 | 323 | $8,525.59 | $8,544.37 |
$-276.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $26.74 | 319 | $8,530.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.33 | 319 | $8,718.27 | $8,732.58 |
+$188.21 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.75 | 326 | $8,722.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.15 | 326 | $8,524.90 | $8,535.35 |
$-197.23 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $26.17 | 326 | $8,533.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.93 | 326 | $8,453.18 | $8,455.48 |
$-79.87 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.88 | 326 | $8,436.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.25 | 326 | $8,231.53 | $8,250.13 |
$-205.35 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $25.90 | 318 | $8,234.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.88 | 318 | $8,229.84 | $8,245.36 |
$-4.77 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.36 | 312 | $8,224.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.73 | 312 | $8,026.20 | $8,047.46 |
$-197.90 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $25.37 | 317 | $8,042.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.90 | 317 | $8,208.72 | $8,213.88 |
+$166.42 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.82 | 318 | $8,210.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.64 | 318 | $8,153.52 | $8,156.64 |
$-57.24 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.25 | 310 | $8,135.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.01 | 310 | $8,064.09 | $8,084.78 |
$-71.86 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $26.22 | 308 | $8,077.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.43 | 308 | $7,833.98 | $7,841.64 |
$-243.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,841.64
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,158.36
Total Return:
-21.58%