Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 34.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.2

30-Day Momentum

56
+7.4%
30d Return
88%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.5 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,047
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,692.94
Current Value
$13,686.47
Period P&L
$-6.47
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
18 / 11
Best Trade
+2.99%
Worst Trade
-3.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$772,140.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6.47
Gross Return
-0.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,692.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $160.87 85 $13,673.53
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $157.26 85 $13,367.10 $13,460.90 $-306.43
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $159.52 84 $13,399.68
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $154.62 84 $12,988.08 $13,049.30 $-411.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:10am ET $158.27 82 $12,978.14
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $161.53 82 $13,245.05 $13,316.21 +$266.91
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $164.27 81 $13,305.87
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $167.68 81 $13,582.08 $13,592.42 +$276.21
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $173.82 78 $13,557.96
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $168.16 78 $13,116.48 $13,150.94 $-441.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $163.35 80 $13,067.60
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $166.62 80 $13,329.60 $13,412.94 +$262.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $168.93 79 $13,345.47
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $172.38 79 $13,618.02 $13,685.49 +$272.55
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $175.62 77 $13,522.75
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $179.14 77 $13,793.78 $13,956.52 +$271.03
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $178.96 77 $13,779.84
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $180.09 77 $13,866.93 $14,043.61 +$87.09
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $178.04 78 $13,886.73
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $181.98 78 $14,194.44 $14,351.32 +$307.71
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $184.86 77 $14,234.22
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $179.29 77 $13,805.33 $13,922.42 $-428.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $185.61 75 $13,920.75
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $183.57 75 $13,767.38 $13,769.05 $-153.37
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET $186.13 73 $13,587.85
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $190.07 73 $13,875.11 $14,056.31 +$287.26
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $188.72 74 $13,965.28
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $182.65 74 $13,516.10 $13,607.13 $-449.18
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $177.05 76 $13,455.80
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $171.52 76 $13,035.52 $13,186.85 $-420.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $168.95 78 $13,178.10
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $172.38 78 $13,445.64 $13,454.39 +$267.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $168.33 79 $13,298.07
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $171.89 79 $13,579.31 $13,735.63 +$281.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $176.76 77 $13,610.52
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $170.26 77 $13,110.40 $13,235.52 $-500.11
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET $163.79 80 $13,103.20
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $162.70 80 $13,016.00 $13,148.32 $-87.20
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $163.03 80 $13,042.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET $164.39 80 $13,151.20 $13,257.12 +$108.80
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $164.88 80 $13,190.40
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $158.40 80 $12,672.00 $12,738.72 $-518.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET $158.49 80 $12,679.20
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:10am ET $158.80 80 $12,704.00 $12,763.52 +$24.80
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $159.01 80 $12,720.80
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $162.21 80 $12,977.20 $13,019.92 +$256.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET $162.92 79 $12,870.68
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:30am ET $157.93 79 $12,476.47 $12,625.71 $-394.21
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $157.41 80 $12,592.80
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $157.92 80 $12,633.60 $12,666.51 +$40.80
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $155.63 81 $12,606.03
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $160.28 81 $12,982.68 $13,043.16 +$376.65
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:40am ET $165.88 78 $12,938.25
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $169.33 78 $13,207.74 $13,312.65 +$269.49
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $163.76 81 $13,264.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $164.63 81 $13,335.03 $13,383.12 +$70.47
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $164.62 81 $13,334.22
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $168.37 81 $13,637.57 $13,686.47 +$303.35
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,686.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,686.47
Total Return: +36.86%
Back to Rebel Contraire