Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:20:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.2/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.6

30-Day Momentum

71
+13.2%
30d Return
88%
Win Rate
8
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+56 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,174
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,426.78
Current Value
$10,224.02
Period P&L
$1,797.23
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
23 / 12
Best Trade
+3.82%
Worst Trade
-3.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$626,192.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,797.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,797.23
Gross Return
+21.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,426.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:00pm ET $38.63 218 $8,421.34
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $39.41 218 $8,591.38 $8,625.18 +$170.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $44.59 193 $8,604.91
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $43.16 193 $8,328.92 $8,349.19 $-275.99
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $42.99 194 $8,340.06
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $43.90 194 $8,515.73 $8,524.85 +$175.67
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $44.90 189 $8,486.10
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $45.96 189 $8,685.50 $8,724.25 +$199.40
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:35am ET $46.51 187 $8,696.44
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $47.44 187 $8,871.28 $8,899.09 +$174.84
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $46.64 190 $8,861.60
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $46.26 190 $8,788.45 $8,825.94 $-73.15
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $49.34 178 $8,782.06
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $51.22 178 $9,117.16 $9,161.05 +$335.10
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET $49.73 184 $9,150.32
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $50.94 184 $9,372.96 $9,383.69 +$222.64
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $50.44 186 $9,381.84
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $48.67 186 $9,052.62 $9,054.47 $-329.22
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $48.91 185 $9,048.33
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $47.43 185 $8,774.55 $8,780.68 $-273.78
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $48.19 182 $8,770.58
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $49.18 182 $8,950.76 $8,960.86 +$180.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $50.62 177 $8,958.86
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $48.81 177 $8,638.49 $8,640.49 $-320.37
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $50.71 170 $8,620.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.08 170 $8,514.45 $8,534.24 $-106.25
(-1.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $50.08 170 $8,512.75
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $51.24 170 $8,710.80 $8,732.29 +$198.05
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $51.53 169 $8,709.41
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $51.37 169 $8,681.53 $8,704.40 $-27.89
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:15pm ET $51.13 170 $8,692.95
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET $52.17 170 $8,868.05 $8,879.50 +$175.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET $50.98 174 $8,870.57
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $49.22 174 $8,563.41 $8,572.34 $-307.16
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $47.76 179 $8,549.04
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $46.14 179 $8,259.06 $8,282.36 $-289.98
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:35am ET $48.18 171 $8,238.78
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $46.53 171 $7,957.48 $8,001.06 $-281.30
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET $43.89 182 $7,987.98
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $44.83 182 $8,159.06 $8,172.14 +$171.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $44.54 183 $8,150.82
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $45.51 183 $8,329.24 $8,350.56 +$178.42
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:05am ET $46.19 180 $8,313.30
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:45am ET $47.21 180 $8,496.90 $8,534.16 +$183.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $47.56 179 $8,513.24
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET $48.66 179 $8,710.14 $8,731.06 +$196.90
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $49.98 174 $8,696.52
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET $51.04 174 $8,880.96 $8,915.50 +$184.44
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $52.08 171 $8,905.68
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $53.15 171 $9,088.65 $9,098.47 +$182.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.85 172 $9,089.34
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.17 172 $8,802.10 $8,811.23 $-287.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.67 177 $8,791.59
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.90 177 $9,009.30 $9,028.94 +$217.71
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET $49.47 182 $9,004.12
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.55 182 $9,200.10 $9,224.92 +$195.98
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $52.35 176 $9,214.48
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $53.73 176 $9,456.48 $9,466.92 +$242.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $52.18 181 $9,444.58
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $53.33 181 $9,653.63 $9,675.97 +$209.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.01 186 $9,672.93
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $53.20 186 $9,895.20 $9,898.24 +$222.27
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET $54.47 181 $9,859.97
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $55.62 181 $10,067.22 $10,105.49 +$207.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $55.46 182 $10,092.81
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $56.64 182 $10,308.48 $10,321.16 +$215.67
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $55.79 184 $10,266.17
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.99 184 $10,486.16 $10,541.15 +$219.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
35 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:55am ET $56.51 186 $10,511.79
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:05am ET $54.81 186 $10,194.66 $10,224.02 $-317.13
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,224.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$224.02
Total Return: +2.24%
Back to Rebel Contraire