SNOW Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 45 trades in period
+20.08%
Year to Date Return
$15,841.53
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$13,192.16
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
31.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 31.0
30-Day Momentum
14
-2.6%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,702
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,192.16
Current Value
$15,841.53
Period P&L
$2,649.38
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
29 /
16
Best Trade
+10.94%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,288,709.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,649.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,649.38
Gross Return
+20.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.08%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,192.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $214.73 | 61 | $13,098.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $219.36 | 61 | $13,380.66 | $13,474.27 |
+$282.13 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $224.08 | 60 | $13,444.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $228.68 | 60 | $13,720.80 | $13,750.27 |
+$276.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $234.70 | 58 | $13,612.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $227.34 | 58 | $13,185.43 | $13,323.10 |
$-427.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $220.44 | 60 | $13,226.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $213.10 | 60 | $12,786.00 | $12,882.70 |
$-440.40 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $206.63 | 62 | $12,811.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $212.17 | 62 | $13,154.54 | $13,226.18 |
+$343.48 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $206.87 | 63 | $13,032.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.12 | 63 | $13,300.56 | $13,494.25 |
+$268.07 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $209.45 | 64 | $13,404.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $214.16 | 64 | $13,705.92 | $13,795.37 |
+$301.12 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $211.86 | 65 | $13,770.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.57 | 65 | $14,272.05 | $14,296.52 |
+$501.15 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.48 | 70 | $14,103.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $195.24 | 70 | $13,666.80 | $13,859.55 |
$-436.97 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $191.15 | 72 | $13,763.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $184.96 | 72 | $13,317.12 | $13,413.51 |
$-446.04 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $165.13 | 81 | $13,375.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $169.06 | 81 | $13,693.86 | $13,731.84 |
+$318.33 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
36m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $160.68 | 85 | $13,657.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $163.93 | 85 | $13,933.63 | $14,007.67 |
+$275.83 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $168.18 | 83 | $13,958.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.31 | 83 | $14,301.73 | $14,350.46 |
+$342.79 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $182.15 | 78 | $14,207.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $183.80 | 78 | $14,336.40 | $14,479.16 |
+$128.70 (+0.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
36m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $175.50 | 82 | $14,391.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $179.18 | 82 | $14,693.17 | $14,781.33 |
+$302.17 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $176.60 | 83 | $14,657.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $180.49 | 83 | $14,980.67 | $15,104.20 |
+$322.87 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $181.47 | 83 | $15,062.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $174.76 | 83 | $14,505.49 | $14,547.68 |
$-556.52 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $156.34 | 93 | $14,539.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $160.72 | 93 | $14,946.96 | $14,955.02 |
+$407.34 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $165.44 | 90 | $14,889.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET | $169.00 | 90 | $15,210.00 | $15,275.42 |
+$320.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $170.61 | 89 | $15,184.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $164.90 | 89 | $14,675.66 | $14,766.79 |
$-508.63 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $169.98 | 86 | $14,618.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.75 | 86 | $14,168.50 | $14,317.01 |
$-449.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.38 | 86 | $14,223.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $168.90 | 86 | $14,525.40 | $14,619.30 |
+$302.29 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $176.02 | 83 | $14,610.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.81 | 83 | $14,924.23 | $14,933.46 |
+$314.16 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $178.81 | 83 | $14,841.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $182.57 | 83 | $15,153.31 | $15,245.54 |
+$312.08 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $180.60 | 84 | $15,169.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $184.24 | 84 | $15,476.16 | $15,551.72 |
+$306.18 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $179.69 | 86 | $15,453.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $173.96 | 86 | $14,960.99 | $15,059.37 |
$-492.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $175.55 | 85 | $14,921.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $170.23 | 85 | $14,469.55 | $14,607.17 |
$-452.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $175.28 | 83 | $14,548.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.73 | 83 | $13,838.18 | $13,897.11 |
$-710.06 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $161.33 | 86 | $13,874.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $164.58 | 86 | $14,153.88 | $14,176.61 |
+$279.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $152.93 | 92 | $14,069.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.39 | 92 | $14,387.89 | $14,495.40 |
+$318.79 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.70 | 98 | $14,376.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $150.00 | 98 | $14,700.00 | $14,818.80 |
+$323.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $152.15 | 97 | $14,758.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $155.31 | 97 | $15,065.07 | $15,125.32 |
+$306.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $152.23 | 99 | $15,070.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $147.60 | 99 | $14,612.40 | $14,666.95 |
$-458.37 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $145.88 | 100 | $14,588.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:35am ET | $149.21 | 100 | $14,921.00 | $14,999.95 |
+$333.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $153.43 | 97 | $14,883.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.81 | 97 | $14,434.57 | $14,551.33 |
$-448.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.86 | 116 | $14,483.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $120.32 | 116 | $13,956.54 | $14,024.11 |
$-527.22 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:25pm ET | $131.70 | 106 | $13,960.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.96 | 106 | $14,411.23 | $14,475.14 |
+$451.03 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $140.87 | 102 | $14,368.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $143.87 | 102 | $14,674.23 | $14,780.94 |
+$305.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $144.54 | 102 | $14,742.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $147.99 | 102 | $15,094.47 | $15,132.84 |
+$351.90 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $153.69 | 98 | $15,062.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.93 | 98 | $14,399.14 | $14,469.96 |
$-662.88 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $137.27 | 105 | $14,413.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $140.13 | 105 | $14,713.65 | $14,770.26 |
+$300.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $145.52 | 101 | $14,697.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.11 | 101 | $14,151.11 | $14,223.85 |
$-546.41 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $137.30 | 103 | $14,141.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.24 | 103 | $14,650.21 | $14,732.15 |
+$508.30 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $146.98 | 100 | $14,698.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.47 | 100 | $14,246.67 | $14,280.57 |
$-451.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $138.47 | 103 | $14,262.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.63 | 103 | $15,823.38 | $15,841.53 |
+$1,560.96 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,841.53
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,841.53
Total Return:
+58.42%