SOXL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 54 trades in period
+2.53%
Year to Date Return
$20,543.04
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$20,036.91
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.8/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
43.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 42.8
30-Day Momentum
35
+5.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.7
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,034
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$20,036.91
Current Value
$20,543.04
Period P&L
$506.18
Max Drawdown
-33.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
31 /
23
Best Trade
+9.00%
Worst Trade
-11.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
16.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,305,119.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$506.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$506.18
Gross Return
+2.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,036.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $47.42 | 422 | $20,011.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.93 | 422 | $20,648.46 | $20,674.11 |
+$637.26 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $53.85 | 383 | $20,624.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 383 | $19,973.45 | $20,023.01 |
$-651.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $49.57 | 403 | $19,977.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.03 | 403 | $21,774.09 | $21,820.03 |
+$1,797.02 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $54.90 | 397 | $21,793.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.41 | 397 | $22,394.77 | $22,421.48 |
+$601.45 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $55.07 | 407 | $22,413.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.78 | 407 | $24,329.65 | $24,337.64 |
+$1,916.16 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.95 | 399 | $24,319.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.43 | 399 | $22,912.58 | $22,931.16 |
$-1,406.48 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $63.80 | 359 | $22,904.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $61.56 | 359 | $22,100.04 | $22,126.83 |
$-804.34 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $60.89 | 363 | $22,103.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 363 | $23,776.50 | $23,800.26 |
+$1,673.43 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $70.90 | 335 | $23,751.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $72.39 | 335 | $24,249.41 | $24,298.17 |
+$497.91 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $68.65 | 353 | $24,233.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.77 | 353 | $22,509.05 | $22,573.76 |
$-1,724.41 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $65.45 | 344 | $22,514.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $66.81 | 344 | $22,982.64 | $23,041.60 |
+$467.84 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $57.54 | 400 | $23,016.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $58.84 | 400 | $23,536.00 | $23,561.60 |
+$520.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.49 | 457 | $23,530.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.78 | 457 | $24,577.46 | $24,608.13 |
+$1,046.53 (+4.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $58.07 | 423 | $24,563.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.31 | 423 | $25,088.13 | $25,132.65 |
+$524.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
36m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $64.70 | 388 | $25,103.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $61.72 | 388 | $23,947.36 | $23,976.41 |
$-1,156.24 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $67.38 | 355 | $23,919.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $64.47 | 355 | $22,886.85 | $22,943.36 |
$-1,033.05 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.82 | 371 | $22,935.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $59.90 | 371 | $22,222.90 | $22,231.04 |
$-712.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $68.03 | 326 | $22,176.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $65.67 | 326 | $21,408.42 | $21,462.82 |
$-768.22 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:15pm ET | $63.86 | 336 | $21,456.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $65.76 | 336 | $22,095.36 | $22,101.22 |
+$638.40 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $66.25 | 333 | $22,061.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $64.11 | 333 | $21,348.60 | $21,387.97 |
$-713.25 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $69.42 | 308 | $21,379.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.14 | 308 | $21,911.12 | $21,919.27 |
+$531.30 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $66.18 | 331 | $21,905.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $64.00 | 331 | $21,184.03 | $21,197.72 |
$-721.55 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $62.67 | 338 | $21,181.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.17 | 338 | $19,661.46 | $19,677.56 |
$-1,520.16 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 12:05pm ET | $54.62 | 360 | $19,663.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.21 | 360 | $20,235.60 | $20,249.17 |
+$571.61 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.10 | 360 | $20,195.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $57.46 | 360 | $20,685.38 | $20,738.81 |
+$489.64 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $51.94 | 399 | $20,724.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $53.08 | 399 | $21,178.92 | $21,193.27 |
+$454.46 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $50.27 | 421 | $21,163.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $52.11 | 421 | $21,938.31 | $21,967.91 |
+$774.64 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.92 | 399 | $21,913.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.60 | 399 | $22,583.40 | $22,638.23 |
+$670.32 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $52.86 | 428 | $22,624.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.88 | 428 | $21,776.60 | $21,790.32 |
$-847.91 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $52.93 | 411 | $21,754.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $50.99 | 411 | $20,958.94 | $20,994.99 |
$-795.33 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $54.25 | 387 | $20,994.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $55.51 | 387 | $21,482.49 | $21,483.27 |
+$488.28 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $54.53 | 393 | $21,432.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.02 | 393 | $22,015.86 | $22,066.88 |
+$583.61 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.55 | 454 | $22,041.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.00 | 454 | $22,700.00 | $22,725.18 |
+$658.30 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.73 | 422 | $22,674.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $51.66 | 422 | $21,800.52 | $21,851.64 |
$-873.54 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $56.10 | 389 | $21,820.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $54.30 | 389 | $21,122.70 | $21,153.38 |
$-698.26 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $54.97 | 384 | $21,108.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.46 | 384 | $21,680.64 | $21,725.54 |
+$572.16 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.13 | 401 | $21,706.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.22 | 401 | $20,942.22 | $20,961.63 |
$-763.91 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $48.21 | 434 | $20,920.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $46.60 | 434 | $20,223.31 | $20,263.97 |
$-697.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $40.42 | 501 | $20,247.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 501 | $21,455.33 | $21,471.38 |
+$1,207.41 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $53.02 | 404 | $21,420.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.12 | 404 | $19,036.48 | $19,087.74 |
$-2,383.64 (-11.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $54.53 | 350 | $19,085.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $52.67 | 350 | $18,434.50 | $18,436.70 |
$-651.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $66.85 | 275 | $18,383.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.78 | 275 | $18,914.53 | $18,967.48 |
+$530.78 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $76.84 | 246 | $18,902.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $78.54 | 246 | $19,320.84 | $19,385.68 |
+$418.20 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $84.07 | 230 | $19,336.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $81.39 | 230 | $18,718.55 | $18,768.13 |
$-617.55 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $87.92 | 213 | $18,726.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.75 | 213 | $19,755.75 | $19,796.92 |
+$1,028.79 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $93.82 | 211 | $19,796.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $95.77 | 211 | $20,207.47 | $20,208.37 |
+$411.45 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $99.11 | 203 | $20,119.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.94 | 203 | $20,896.82 | $20,985.86 |
+$777.49 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $115.87 | 181 | $20,972.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $111.49 | 181 | $20,178.79 | $20,192.17 |
$-793.69 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $128.47 | 157 | $20,169.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $122.00 | 157 | $19,154.47 | $19,176.85 |
$-1,015.32 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $110.35 | 173 | $19,090.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $106.09 | 173 | $18,353.57 | $18,439.89 |
$-736.96 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $116.46 | 158 | $18,399.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.85 | 158 | $19,252.30 | $19,292.30 |
+$852.41 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $128.43 | 150 | $19,264.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $131.08 | 150 | $19,662.00 | $19,689.80 |
+$397.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $140.63 | 140 | $19,688.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $143.74 | 140 | $20,124.30 | $20,125.20 |
+$435.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $158.16 | 127 | $20,086.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $161.45 | 127 | $20,504.15 | $20,543.04 |
+$417.84 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,543.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,543.04
Total Return:
+105.43%