UNH Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 32 trades in period
-11.82%
Year to Date Return
$7,615.01
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,636.15
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
10.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 10.4
30-Day Momentum
12
+0.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.0
Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,374
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,636.15
Current Value
$7,615.01
Period P&L
$-1,021.16
Max Drawdown
-41.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
16 /
16
Best Trade
+9.49%
Worst Trade
-18.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$453,211.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,021.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,021.16
Gross Return
-11.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,636.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $334.22 | 26 | $8,689.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.58 | 26 | $8,803.08 | $8,871.74 |
+$113.36 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $348.78 | 25 | $8,719.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.81 | 25 | $8,370.13 | $8,522.36 |
$-349.37 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $337.82 | 25 | $8,445.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.91 | 25 | $8,247.75 | $8,324.59 |
$-197.78 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $345.97 | 24 | $8,303.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $353.20 | 24 | $8,476.80 | $8,498.11 |
+$173.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $353.78 | 24 | $8,490.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $289.19 | 24 | $6,940.56 | $6,948.07 |
$-1,550.04 (-18.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $287.65 | 24 | $6,903.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $293.80 | 24 | $7,051.20 | $7,095.69 |
+$147.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $291.87 | 24 | $7,004.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $282.92 | 24 | $6,790.08 | $6,880.86 |
$-214.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $276.01 | 24 | $6,624.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $267.61 | 24 | $6,422.52 | $6,679.21 |
$-201.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $276.95 | 24 | $6,646.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $276.54 | 24 | $6,636.96 | $6,669.36 |
$-9.84 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $288.39 | 23 | $6,632.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.41 | 23 | $6,633.43 | $6,669.93 |
+$0.57 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $274.91 | 24 | $6,597.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $280.62 | 24 | $6,734.88 | $6,806.97 |
+$137.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $291.43 | 23 | $6,702.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $285.54 | 23 | $6,567.42 | $6,671.50 |
$-135.47 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $291.40 | 22 | $6,410.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $280.60 | 22 | $6,173.20 | $6,433.90 |
$-237.60 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $283.54 | 22 | $6,237.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.49 | 22 | $6,214.78 | $6,410.80 |
$-23.10 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $287.13 | 22 | $6,316.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $278.49 | 22 | $6,126.78 | $6,220.72 |
$-190.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $270.77 | 22 | $5,956.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $261.83 | 22 | $5,760.26 | $6,024.04 |
$-196.68 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $259.24 | 23 | $5,962.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $265.27 | 23 | $6,101.21 | $6,162.73 |
+$138.69 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $271.01 | 22 | $5,962.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $276.50 | 22 | $6,083.00 | $6,283.62 |
+$120.89 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $281.83 | 22 | $6,200.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.79 | 22 | $6,771.38 | $6,854.85 |
+$571.23 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $309.07 | 22 | $6,799.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $307.23 | 22 | $6,759.06 | $6,814.48 |
$-40.37 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $318.37 | 21 | $6,685.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $324.91 | 21 | $6,823.11 | $6,951.82 |
+$137.34 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $323.21 | 21 | $6,787.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.89 | 21 | $7,431.69 | $7,596.07 |
+$644.25 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $355.27 | 21 | $7,460.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $349.67 | 21 | $7,343.07 | $7,478.37 |
$-117.70 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $368.21 | 20 | $7,364.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.59 | 20 | $7,391.80 | $7,505.90 |
+$27.53 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $363.80 | 20 | $7,276.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.60 | 20 | $7,472.00 | $7,701.90 |
+$196.00 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $378.30 | 20 | $7,566.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $386.13 | 20 | $7,722.50 | $7,858.40 |
+$156.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $400.86 | 19 | $7,616.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $385.17 | 19 | $7,318.23 | $7,560.29 |
$-298.11 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $388.69 | 19 | $7,385.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.83 | 19 | $7,311.77 | $7,486.95 |
$-73.34 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $381.93 | 19 | $7,256.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $382.20 | 19 | $7,261.80 | $7,492.08 |
+$5.13 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $378.43 | 19 | $7,190.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $386.91 | 19 | $7,351.29 | $7,653.11 |
+$161.03 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $398.64 | 19 | $7,574.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $406.62 | 19 | $7,725.78 | $7,804.82 |
+$151.71 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $411.46 | 18 | $7,406.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.92 | 18 | $7,216.47 | $7,615.01 |
$-189.81 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,615.01
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,384.99
Total Return:
-23.85%