Compendium › Rebel Contraire › UNH
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNH
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

-13.09%
Year to Date Return
$7,505.90
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$8,636.15
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:17:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.2

30-Day Momentum

64
+19.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
5.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 86.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+54 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,080
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,636.15
Current Value
$7,505.90
Period P&L
$-1,130.27
Max Drawdown
-41.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+9.49%
Worst Trade
-18.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,560.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,130.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,130.27
Gross Return
-13.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,636.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET $334.22 26 $8,689.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $338.58 26 $8,803.08 $8,871.74 +$113.36
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET $348.78 25 $8,719.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $334.81 25 $8,370.13 $8,522.36 $-349.37
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $337.82 25 $8,445.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $329.91 25 $8,247.75 $8,324.59 $-197.78
(-2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:25am ET $345.97 24 $8,303.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $353.20 24 $8,476.80 $8,498.11 +$173.52
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $353.78 24 $8,490.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $289.19 24 $6,940.56 $6,948.07 $-1,550.04
(-18.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:15am ET $287.65 24 $6,903.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET $293.80 24 $7,051.20 $7,095.69 +$147.62
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $291.87 24 $7,004.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:00am ET $282.92 24 $6,790.08 $6,880.86 $-214.82
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $276.01 24 $6,624.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:40am ET $267.61 24 $6,422.52 $6,679.21 $-201.66
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $276.95 24 $6,646.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $276.54 24 $6,636.96 $6,669.36 $-9.84
(-0.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $288.39 23 $6,632.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $288.41 23 $6,633.43 $6,669.93 +$0.57
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET $274.91 24 $6,597.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $280.62 24 $6,734.88 $6,806.97 +$137.04
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $291.43 23 $6,702.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET $285.54 23 $6,567.42 $6,671.50 $-135.47
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:35am ET $291.40 22 $6,410.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $280.60 22 $6,173.20 $6,433.90 $-237.60
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $283.54 22 $6,237.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $282.49 22 $6,214.78 $6,410.80 $-23.10
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET $287.13 22 $6,316.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $278.49 22 $6,126.78 $6,220.72 $-190.08
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $270.77 22 $5,956.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET $261.83 22 $5,760.26 $6,024.04 $-196.68
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:30am ET $259.24 23 $5,962.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $265.27 23 $6,101.21 $6,162.73 +$138.69
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $271.01 22 $5,962.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $276.50 22 $6,083.00 $6,283.62 +$120.89
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $281.83 22 $6,200.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 22 $6,771.38 $6,854.85 +$571.23
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $309.07 22 $6,799.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $307.23 22 $6,759.06 $6,814.48 $-40.37
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $318.37 21 $6,685.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $324.91 21 $6,823.11 $6,951.82 +$137.34
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $323.21 21 $6,787.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 21 $7,431.69 $7,596.07 +$644.25
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $355.27 21 $7,460.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $349.67 21 $7,343.07 $7,478.37 $-117.70
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $368.21 20 $7,364.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $369.59 20 $7,391.80 $7,505.90 +$27.53
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,505.90
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,494.10
Total Return: -24.94%
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