Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:25:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 49.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 48.8

30-Day Momentum

50
+9.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.0 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,983
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,250.15
Current Value
$14,560.99
Period P&L
$310.86
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
11 / 9
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-3.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$554,837.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$310.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$310.86
Gross Return
+2.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,250.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET $338.11 42 $14,200.41
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $338.21 42 $14,204.82 $14,353.88 +$4.41
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $339.74 42 $14,269.08
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $341.22 42 $14,331.24 $14,416.04 +$62.16
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $342.90 42 $14,401.80
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $337.46 42 $14,173.32 $14,187.56 $-228.48
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $338.48 41 $13,877.68
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $342.06 41 $14,024.46 $14,334.34 +$146.78
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET $343.52 41 $14,084.50
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.36 41 $13,954.96 $14,204.80 $-129.54
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $341.52 41 $14,002.52
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $340.48 41 $13,959.68 $14,161.95 $-42.84
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $342.57 41 $14,045.55
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $343.26 41 $14,073.65 $14,190.05 +$28.10
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $335.88 42 $14,106.96
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $339.73 42 $14,268.66 $14,351.75 +$161.70
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $336.92 42 $14,150.64
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $335.24 42 $14,080.08 $14,281.19 $-70.56
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $332.69 42 $13,972.98
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $328.35 42 $13,790.75 $14,098.96 $-182.23
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $333.73 42 $14,016.66
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $329.15 42 $13,824.30 $13,906.60 $-192.36
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $332.02 41 $13,612.82
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $321.96 41 $13,200.36 $13,494.14 $-412.46
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $325.35 41 $13,339.28
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $315.31 41 $12,927.71 $13,082.57 $-411.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $313.19 41 $12,840.79
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $319.58 41 $13,102.98 $13,344.77 +$262.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $324.77 41 $13,315.57
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $324.59 41 $13,308.19 $13,337.39 $-7.38
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $324.20 41 $13,292.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $334.23 41 $13,703.52 $13,748.92 +$411.53
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $333.01 41 $13,653.41
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $339.80 41 $13,932.00 $14,027.51 +$278.59
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $343.74 40 $13,749.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $350.86 40 $14,034.20 $14,311.91 +$284.40
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $349.96 40 $13,998.56
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.85 40 $14,074.00 $14,387.35 +$75.44
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $350.78 41 $14,381.98
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $355.02 41 $14,555.62 $14,560.99 +$173.64
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,560.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,560.99
Total Return: +45.61%
Back to Rebel Contraire