Compendium › Trent Follower › ETHUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ETHUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-20 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.91%
Last Month Return
$9,171.91
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,872.99
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:40:37

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-2.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,165
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,872.99
Current Value
$9,171.91
Period P&L
$-435.37
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.88

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.58%
Worst Trade
-1.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.67%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$73,781.16
Estimated Fees
$184.45
Gross P&L
$-435.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-619.82
Gross Return
-4.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.99%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,872.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 5:00pm ET $2,144.22 4 $9,422.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 8:20pm ET $2,112.32 4 $9,282.65 $9,282.65 $-186.95
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $1,688.36 5 $9,282.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:30pm ET $1,671.76 5 $9,191.38 $9,191.38 $-137.45
(-1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $1,727.32 5 $9,191.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:05pm ET $1,713.75 5 $9,119.17 $9,119.17 $-117.98
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:20am ET $1,815.48 5 $9,119.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,825.98 5 $9,171.91 $9,171.91 +$7.01
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,171.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-828.09
Total Return: -8.28%
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