Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:40:45

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.6/10
Raw Quality 2.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,358.31
Current Value
$3,390.47
Period P&L
$-251.81
Max Drawdown
-66.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.52

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+1.37%
Worst Trade
-2.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.70%
Avg Hold Time
3.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$41,205.84
Estimated Fees
$103.01
Gross P&L
$-251.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-354.82
Gross Return
-7.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.57%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,358.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $90.71 39 $3,539.24
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $90.49 39 $3,530.66 $3,530.66 $-26.26
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $86.44 41 $3,530.66
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $83.95 41 $3,428.96 $3,428.96 $-119.10
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET $84.34 41 $3,428.96
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30pm ET $84.50 41 $3,435.47 $3,435.47 $-10.66
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $89.91 38 $3,435.47
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 6:20pm ET $88.94 38 $3,398.41 $3,398.41 $-54.15
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $66.91 51 $3,398.41
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:15pm ET $65.85 51 $3,344.57 $3,344.57 $-70.70
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:40pm ET $69.95 48 $3,344.57
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 10:55pm ET $70.91 48 $3,390.47 $3,390.47 +$29.06
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,390.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,609.53
Total Return: -66.10%
Back to Trent Follower