Compendium › Trent Follower › ETHUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ETHUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

-13.81%
Year to Date Return
$9,171.91
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$9,789.08
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:41:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-2.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
49,192
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
171 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,789.08
Current Value
$9,171.91
Period P&L
$-1,351.46
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+1.90%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$445,920.23
Estimated Fees
$1,114.80
Gross P&L
$-1,351.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,466.26
Gross Return
-13.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.19%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 171 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,789.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:10pm ET $3,320.46 3 $9,789.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50pm ET $3,317.00 3 $9,778.88 $9,729.96 $-59.12
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $3,026.68 3 $9,729.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 5:55pm ET $3,011.30 3 $9,680.51 $9,631.99 $-97.97
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 4:45am ET $2,313.86 4 $9,631.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $2,352.12 4 $9,791.25 $9,742.70 +$110.71
(+1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
7.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $2,292.01 4 $9,742.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $2,229.13 4 $9,475.41 $9,427.36 $-315.33
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 8:40pm ET $1,923.40 5 $9,427.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:45am ET $1,913.85 5 $9,380.56 $9,333.54 $-93.83
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $2,032.17 5 $9,333.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $2,052.57 5 $9,427.23 $9,380.33 +$46.79
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 11:30am ET $2,106.86 4 $9,380.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $2,078.31 4 $9,253.19 $9,206.61 $-173.72
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $2,126.60 4 $9,206.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 4:00pm ET $2,119.23 4 $9,174.71 $9,128.75 $-77.86
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:25pm ET $1,917.02 5 $9,128.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50pm ET $1,908.36 5 $9,087.51 $9,087.51 $-86.78
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET $2,023.44 4 $9,087.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $2,061.94 4 $9,260.42 $9,260.42 +$127.04
(+1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET $2,042.16 5 $9,260.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2026 12:15am ET $2,015.28 5 $9,138.53 $9,138.53 $-167.89
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET $2,011.47 5 $9,138.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $2,031.92 5 $9,231.44 $9,231.44 +$46.98
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET $2,051.90 4 $9,231.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 6:40am ET $2,049.68 4 $9,221.45 $9,221.45 $-56.12
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:50am ET $2,139.96 4 $9,221.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $2,159.93 4 $9,307.50 $9,307.50 +$39.73
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 8:30pm ET $2,143.37 4 $9,307.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:50pm ET $2,104.88 4 $9,140.36 $9,140.36 $-213.26
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:15am ET $2,197.35 4 $9,140.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $2,153.24 4 $8,956.87 $8,956.87 $-228.73
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 15, 2026 11:30pm ET $2,245.34 4 $8,956.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:35am ET $2,252.65 4 $8,986.03 $8,986.03 $-15.70
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $2,124.96 4 $8,986.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $2,154.14 4 $9,109.43 $9,109.43 +$78.16
(+1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:55pm ET $2,196.55 4 $9,109.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $2,231.06 4 $9,252.55 $9,252.55 +$97.21
(+1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET $2,325.00 4 $9,252.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:15pm ET $2,367.79 4 $9,422.84 $9,422.84 +$123.60
(+1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
21 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 5:00pm ET $2,144.22 4 $9,422.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 8:20pm ET $2,112.32 4 $9,282.65 $9,282.65 $-186.95
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $1,688.36 5 $9,282.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:30pm ET $1,671.76 5 $9,191.38 $9,191.38 $-137.45
(-1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $1,727.32 5 $9,191.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:05pm ET $1,713.75 5 $9,119.17 $9,119.17 $-117.98
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:20am ET $1,815.48 5 $9,119.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,825.98 5 $9,171.91 $9,171.91 +$7.01
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,171.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-828.09
Total Return: -8.28%
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