Compendium › Victor Volume › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+12.20%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,391.21
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,609.39
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:55:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,609.39
Current Value
$16,391.21
Period P&L
$1,781.80
Max Drawdown
-41.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.69%
Worst Trade
-5.16%
Avg Trade Return
+3.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,744.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,781.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,781.80
Gross Return
+12.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $14,609.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.10 37 $14,692.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $424.73 37 $15,714.83 $15,915.70 +$1,022.13
(+7.0%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $412.17 38 $15,662.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $390.92 38 $14,854.96 $15,108.01 $-807.69
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $369.20 40 $14,768.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $401.28 40 $16,051.20 $16,391.21 +$1,283.20
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,391.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,391.21
Total Return: +63.91%
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