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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,174
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,901 (+$273)
+2.51%
Last Month ROI
57.3%
Win Rate
874
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+2.5%
1 Month
-3.9%
3 Months
-5.1%
6 Months
-3.0%
YTD
+1.9%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Month)

Stock Volume
$10,245,872
858 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$10,917
16 trades
Crypto Fees
$27
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: Apr 7, 2026 May 7, 2026 (30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 BTCUSD 11 84🔥 +52.82% $487 $744 16 75% $15,696 +$257 -95.2% 1.1d -
2 AMD 23 95🔥 +32.54% $8,894 $11,789 13 92% - +$2,894 -52.6% 1.8d -
3 SMCI 12 67🔥 +22.71% $7,572 $9,292 11 82% - +$1,720 -63.9% 22.3h -
4 GOOGL 58 77 +22.36% $20,332 $24,879 8 100% - +$4,546 -25.1% 3.0d -
5 TSLA 28 80🔥 +20.19% $10,808 $12,990 10 80% - +$2,182 -37.6% 1.5d -
6 UNH 10 64🔥 +19.45% $6,284 $7,506 6 67% - +$1,222 -41.5% 3.0d -
7 XLK 26 76🔥 +18.66% $10,049 $11,924 8 88% - +$1,875 -30.8% 3.7d -
8 INTC 33 88🔥 +18.45% $13,319 $15,776 13 77% - +$2,457 -45.8% 1.7d -
9 ARM 37 68🔥 +17.43% $14,216 $16,694 14 79% - +$2,478 -36.8% 1.4d -
10 AMZN 30 76🔥 +17.36% $11,095 $13,021 8 100% - +$1,926 -27.2% 2.9d -
11 MS 42 71🔥 +17.23% $13,989 $16,400 7 86% - +$2,410 -18.0% 3.4d -
12 QQQ 21 66🔥 +14.93% $9,288 $10,675 6 100% - +$1,387 -24.0% 4.3d -
13 NVDA 45 70🔥 +14.38% $19,672 $22,501 8 75% - +$2,829 -35.3% 1.8d -
14 SLB 15 71🔥 +13.24% $9,029 $10,224 8 88% - +$1,195 -24.3% 2.9d -
15 BAC 39 67🔥 +13.21% $13,420 $15,193 7 86% - +$1,773 -19.8% 3.5d -
16 C 32 64🔥 +12.91% $11,624 $13,124 7 86% - +$1,501 -21.2% 3.0d -
17 PYPL 11 67🔥 +12.19% $7,592 $8,517 9 78% - +$925 -52.5% 2.7d -
18 AXP 57 60 +11.25% $17,266 $19,209 7 71% - +$1,942 -13.8% 3.2d -
19 DKNG 12 59🔥 +10.85% $7,593 $8,417 11 73% - +$824 -46.7% 1.8d -
20 IWM 39 53 +10.77% $12,635 $13,995 5 100% - +$1,361 -11.9% 3.8d -
21 ADBE 9 52🔥 +10.58% $6,047 $6,686 7 86% - +$640 -40.9% 3.1d -
22 MSFT 29 59🔥 +10.56% $11,223 $12,408 8 75% - +$1,185 -19.1% 3.9d -
23 AVGO 44 49 +10.29% $16,440 $18,131 9 78% - +$1,692 -21.1% 1.9d -
24 NET 36 54 +10.07% $13,745 $15,129 12 75% - +$1,384 -29.4% 1.9d -
25 VOO 55 52 +9.88% $13,958 $15,337 5 100% - +$1,379 -9.6% 4.9d -
26 V 36 49 +9.84% $12,067 $13,255 6 67% - +$1,187 -11.9% 4.2d -
27 VXX 10 50🔥 +9.63% $7,412 $8,126 11 73% - +$714 -57.1% 1.8d -
28 SPY 53 51 +9.53% $13,606 $14,903 5 100% - +$1,297 -9.7% 4.8d -
29 VTI 49 50 +9.17% $13,338 $14,561 5 100% - +$1,223 -10.5% 4.8d -
30 AAPL 37 53 +9.00% $12,993 $14,163 6 83% - +$1,169 -20.3% 3.7d -
31 MU 40 52 +8.75% $17,137 $18,636 12 67% - +$1,499 -32.2% 1.8d -
32 RIOT 11 43🔥 +8.64% $5,104 $5,544 13 62% - +$441 -55.6% 17.3h -
33 PLTR 45 51 +8.38% $17,935 $19,437 12 67% - +$1,503 -26.0% 1.3d -
34 CSCO 70 51 +7.95% $17,860 $19,280 7 71% - +$1,420 -9.7% 4.0d -
35 UVXY 10 47🔥 +7.82% $8,627 $9,301 13 69% - +$675 -48.5% 22.7h -
36 JPM 36 44 +7.63% $13,294 $14,308 6 67% - +$1,014 -21.7% 3.6d -
37 USO 33 42 +7.61% $12,676 $13,641 11 73% - +$965 -29.6% 3.3d -
38 COP 27 48🔥 +7.49% $11,127 $11,960 10 80% - +$833 -20.4% 3.2d -
39 PM 34 56🔥 +7.44% $12,739 $13,686 8 88% - +$948 -19.7% 3.9d -
40 GLD 70 45🧊 +7.16% $18,886 $20,239 6 67% - +$1,352 -11.3% 4.4d -
41 DIA 39 45 +6.72% $12,487 $13,326 5 80% - +$839 -13.6% 5.1d -
42 PG 20 40 +6.71% $10,014 $10,686 6 67% - +$672 -19.3% 4.7d -
43 HOOD 11 40🔥 +6.68% $9,053 $9,658 13 62% - +$605 -32.1% 1.3d -
44 IBM 50 46 +6.60% $15,217 $16,222 8 75% - +$1,004 -11.2% 3.4d -
45 GME 26 44 +6.31% $11,480 $12,204 11 73% - +$724 -32.4% 1.4d -
46 BIIB 10 40🔥 +6.17% $7,945 $8,436 8 63% - +$490 -32.7% 3.0d -
47 KO 33 43 +5.83% $12,396 $13,119 5 80% - +$723 -18.7% 4.6d -
48 SOXL 43 35 +5.43% $19,089 $20,125 13 62% - +$1,037 -33.0% 20.2h -
49 TQQQ 11 35🔥 +5.42% $5,431 $5,725 9 67% - +$294 -41.0% 1.5d -
50 BLK 32 27 +4.59% $12,526 $13,100 7 43% - +$575 -17.7% 3.6d -
51 XOM 48 36 +4.55% $15,657 $16,369 8 75% - +$712 -13.9% 3.6d -
52 ACN 8 37🔥 +4.29% $6,525 $6,805 8 75% - +$280 -41.3% 3.4d -
53 NIO 9 35🔥 +4.17% $6,512 $6,783 12 67% - +$272 -39.7% 1.4d -
54 PANW 42 32 +3.49% $15,557 $16,100 11 64% - +$543 -18.6% 2.6d -
55 ORCL 32 31 +3.36% $14,584 $15,074 11 64% - +$490 -37.5% 2.4d -
56 META 33 26 +3.32% $14,613 $15,098 7 71% - +$485 -36.9% 2.8d -
57 AMGN 24 25 +2.92% $10,998 $11,319 7 57% - +$321 -20.8% 3.6d -
58 CRWD 13 27 +2.65% $9,124 $9,366 10 60% - +$242 -37.8% 1.8d -
59 XLF 35 17 +1.98% $13,160 $13,420 5 60% - +$261 -17.8% 4.8d -
60 PEP 20 20 +1.55% $10,490 $10,653 6 67% - +$163 -16.0% 4.4d -
61 GS 58 13🧊 +1.28% $19,230 $19,477 7 43% - +$246 -13.2% 3.2d -
62 DOTUSD +1.27% $2,021 $2,047 NO ENTRY - $4,762 +$26 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
63 COST 32 12 +0.94% $12,758 $12,878 6 50% - +$120 -17.4% 4.1d -
64 WMT 54 14🧊 +0.70% $17,724 $17,848 7 57% - +$124 -14.2% 4.1d -
65 NFLX 46 13🧊 +0.52% $17,644 $17,736 7 57% - +$92 -19.6% 3.1d -
66 BRK-B 43 5🧊 +0.46% $13,998 $14,063 5 40% - +$64 -10.0% 4.4d -
67 SOFI 10 18 +0.17% $8,023 $8,037 11 64% - +$14 -43.4% 1.4d -
68 MA 37 10🧊 -0.50% $13,664 $13,596 7 57% - -$68 -12.2% 4.1d -
69 TLT 10 3 -0.51% $8,869 $8,824 4 50% - -$45 -15.8% 5.2d -
70 COIN 9 16 -0.67% $3,944 $3,918 12 58% - -$26 -67.1% 23.4h -
71 XLE 61 13🧊 -1.04% $19,174 $18,974 8 63% - -$199 -12.9% 4.0d -
72 WFC 35 6🧊 -1.07% $13,580 $13,435 6 50% - -$145 -17.9% 3.2d -
73 CVX 69 13🧊 -1.23% $20,976 $20,718 8 63% - -$258 -12.9% 3.9d -
74 JNJ 43 3🧊 -1.66% $14,081 $13,847 6 33% - -$234 -9.8% 4.5d -
75 MRNA 42 16🧊 -1.89% $21,350 $20,946 12 58% - -$404 -42.5% 1.3d -
76 GILD 39 6🧊 -1.94% $15,029 $14,737 6 50% - -$292 -16.0% 3.6d -
77 CRM 10 15 -1.98% $6,485 $6,356 10 60% - -$128 -46.3% 3.1d -
78 PFE 9 2 -2.43% $8,748 $8,535 5 40% - -$213 -30.4% 3.8d -
79 SNOW 31 14 -2.63% $14,666 $14,281 11 55% - -$386 -41.0% 2.0d -
80 HD 19 6 -2.77% $10,996 $10,691 8 38% - -$305 -18.6% 3.9d -
81 VRTX 21 6 -2.83% $11,033 $10,721 6 50% - -$312 -21.3% 3.5d -
82 REGN 11 10 -2.98% $8,344 $8,095 7 57% - -$249 -42.3% 3.1d -
83 RIVN 10 16 -2.99% $4,998 $4,849 12 58% - -$149 -60.0% 1.1d -
84 BMY 10 2 -3.01% $9,520 $9,234 5 40% - -$287 -39.5% 3.0d -
85 OXY 35 19 -3.03% $15,513 $15,043 10 70% - -$470 -31.5% 3.1d -
86 VZ 22 6 -3.18% $11,207 $10,851 6 50% - -$356 -15.3% 4.2d -
87 SPXU 19 9 -3.41% $10,905 $10,533 9 44% - -$372 -29.5% 2.3d -
88 MCD 20 1 -4.02% $11,205 $10,754 4 25% - -$450 -15.2% 4.4d -
89 DIS 8 2 -4.23% $8,978 $8,598 5 40% - -$380 -25.4% 3.7d -
90 AMC 9 15 -4.38% $4,585 $4,384 13 54% - -$201 -57.1% 1.4d -
91 ABBV 13 3 -4.64% $10,566 $10,075 6 33% - -$490 -25.0% 3.7d -
92 SCHW 24 5 -5.63% $12,194 $11,507 7 29% - -$687 -16.1% 3.8d -
93 ARKK 11 12 -5.77% $8,505 $8,014 10 50% - -$491 -23.5% 2.4d -
94 MRK 12 5 -5.87% $9,637 $9,072 7 43% - -$566 -29.6% 3.5d -
95 CMCSA 6 2 -6.05% $5,724 $5,378 5 20% - -$346 -47.7% 3.7d -
96 AVAXUSD -6.05% $1,379 $1,296 NO ENTRY - $5,219 -$83 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
97 LCID 8 15 -6.12% $3,201 $3,005 13 54% - -$196 -69.8% 23.6h -
98 TMO 10 5 -6.76% $9,489 $8,847 7 43% - -$641 -23.9% 3.6d -
99 MARA 11 14 -7.59% $7,338 $6,781 16 50% - -$557 -40.2% 16.1h -
100 LTCUSD -8.76% $485 $443 NO ENTRY - $10,066 -$43 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
101 LLY 23 7 -9.67% $12,771 $11,536 9 33% - -$1,235 -33.4% 2.6d -
102 ISRG 17 5 -10.20% $11,463 $10,294 7 14% - -$1,169 -39.2% 3.1d -
103 MDT 7 5 -12.93% $10,243 $8,919 7 14% - -$1,324 -15.1% 4.3d -
104 SQQQ 9 9 -12.95% $7,198 $6,266 11 36% - -$932 -53.7% 1.5d -
105 SLV 32 9🧊 -13.62% $15,251 $13,174 10 30% - -$2,077 -18.7% 2.8d -
106 SHIBUSD -13.84% $7,781 $6,704 NO ENTRY - $3,511 -$1,077 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
107 LINKUSD -14.03% $4,250 $3,654 NO ENTRY - $5,330 -$596 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
108 DOGEUSD -17.09% $5,341 $4,428 NO ENTRY - $5,179 -$913 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
109 ETHUSD -17.53% $3,616 $2,982 NO ENTRY - $4,681 -$634 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
110 PEPEUSD -22.06% $1,613 $1,258 NO ENTRY - $8,303 -$356 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
111 SOLUSD -22.84% $218 $169 NO ENTRY - $10,449 -$50 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025
112 XRPUSD -23.96% $1,550 $1,179 NO ENTRY - $5,991 -$371 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
113 RBLX 31 13 -26.57% $18,308 $13,444 12 50% - -$4,865 -34.9% 1.9d -
114 UNIUSD -27.81% $1,069 $772 NO ENTRY - $7,266 -$297 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.