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Rebel Contraire
11

Rebel Contraire

The Rebel

⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)

"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."

Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 6 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,097
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,663 ($-567)
-4.86%
Last 6 Months ROI
57.3%
Win Rate
6,905
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+2.8%
1 Month
-3.7%
3 Months
-4.9%
6 Months
-2.8%
YTD
+2.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume
$55,318,084
4,632 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$7,383,409
2,273 trades
Crypto Fees
$18,459
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal

After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.

🎯 Best Suited For

Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades

"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 5

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"

Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Nov 7, 2025 May 7, 2026 (180 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 33 88🔥 +58.22% $9,971 $15,776 63 67% - +$5,805 -45.8% 1.7d -
2 OXY 35 19 +50.25% $10,012 $15,043 50 72% - +$5,031 -31.5% 3.1d -
3 USO 33 42 +50.11% $9,087 $13,641 48 71% - +$4,554 -29.6% 3.3d -
4 VXX 10 50🔥 +45.34% $5,591 $8,126 63 65% - +$2,535 -57.1% 1.8d -
5 XLE 61 13🧊 +43.43% $13,229 $18,974 36 75% - +$5,745 -12.9% 4.0d -
6 MRNA 42 16🧊 +40.78% $14,879 $20,946 67 66% - +$6,067 -42.5% 1.3d -
7 XOM 48 36 +33.87% $12,228 $16,369 40 73% - +$4,141 -13.9% 3.6d -
8 GME 26 44 +32.44% $9,215 $12,204 47 68% - +$2,989 -32.4% 1.4d -
9 SMCI 12 67🔥 +31.63% $7,059 $9,292 64 61% - +$2,233 -63.9% 22.3h -
10 COP 27 48🔥 +29.79% $9,215 $11,960 44 68% - +$2,745 -20.4% 3.2d -
11 GLD 70 45🧊 +28.88% $15,703 $20,239 40 68% - +$4,535 -11.3% 4.4d -
12 CSCO 70 51 +27.32% $15,143 $19,280 35 63% - +$4,137 -9.7% 4.0d -
13 SNOW 31 14 +24.88% $12,685 $15,842 61 66% - +$3,156 -41.0% 2.0d -
14 CVX 69 13🧊 +23.71% $16,747 $20,718 36 69% - +$3,971 -12.9% 3.9d -
15 WMT 54 14🧊 +20.31% $14,835 $17,848 36 67% - +$3,013 -14.2% 4.1d -
16 GOOGL 58 77 +20.22% $20,694 $24,879 40 60% - +$4,184 -25.1% 3.0d -
17 BAC 39 67🔥 +20.20% $12,640 $15,193 38 66% - +$2,553 -19.8% 3.5d -
18 IBM 50 46 +18.22% $13,722 $16,222 41 61% - +$2,500 -11.2% 3.4d -
19 PFE 9 2 +16.94% $7,299 $8,535 35 69% - +$1,236 -30.4% 3.8d -
20 XLK 26 76🔥 +13.98% $10,462 $11,924 36 67% - +$1,463 -30.8% 3.7d -
21 KO 33 43 +13.32% $11,577 $13,119 28 68% - +$1,542 -18.7% 4.6d -
22 JNJ 43 3🧊 +13.32% $12,219 $13,847 34 56% - +$1,628 -9.8% 4.5d -
23 PG 20 40 +13.18% $9,442 $10,686 35 57% - +$1,244 -19.3% 4.7d -
24 AMZN 30 76🔥 +12.94% $11,529 $13,021 45 67% - +$1,492 -27.2% 2.9d -
25 AAPL 37 53 +12.57% $12,868 $14,486 32 66% - +$1,618 -20.3% 3.7d -
26 AXP 57 60 +12.37% $17,094 $19,209 41 59% - +$2,115 -13.8% 3.2d -
27 AMGN 24 25 +12.06% $10,101 $11,319 38 61% - +$1,218 -20.8% 3.6d -
28 RIVN 10 16 +11.84% $4,336 $4,849 67 61% - +$513 -60.0% 1.1d -
29 SQQQ 9 9 +11.36% $5,627 $6,266 64 63% - +$639 -53.7% 1.5d -
30 AMD 23 95🔥 +11.15% $10,606 $11,789 61 62% - +$1,183 -52.6% 1.8d -
31 NET 36 54 +10.33% $13,712 $15,129 62 60% - +$1,416 -29.4% 1.9d -
32 SPY 53 51 +9.59% $13,599 $14,903 30 63% - +$1,304 -9.7% 4.8d -
33 VOO 55 52 +9.34% $14,027 $15,337 30 60% - +$1,310 -9.6% 4.9d -
34 C 32 64🔥 +8.41% $12,106 $13,124 43 63% - +$1,018 -21.2% 3.0d -
35 BMY 10 2 +8.07% $8,544 $9,234 38 61% - +$690 -39.5% 3.0d -
36 V 36 49 +7.42% $12,339 $13,255 34 50% - +$916 -11.9% 4.2d -
37 VTI 49 50 +7.12% $13,593 $14,561 30 63% - +$968 -10.5% 4.8d -
38 SLB 15 71🔥 +7.10% $9,546 $10,224 48 58% - +$678 -24.3% 2.9d -
39 VZ 22 6 +7.07% $10,134 $10,851 34 62% - +$716 -15.3% 4.2d -
40 NFLX 46 13🧊 +6.54% $16,647 $17,736 42 60% - +$1,089 -19.6% 3.1d -
41 DIA 39 45 +6.04% $12,837 $13,613 29 55% - +$775 -13.6% 5.1d -
42 MRK 12 5 +6.00% $8,558 $9,072 40 65% - +$513 -29.6% 3.5d -
43 XLF 35 17 +5.88% $12,675 $13,420 31 58% - +$745 -17.8% 4.8d -
44 UVXY 10 47🔥 +5.87% $8,786 $9,301 71 61% - +$516 -48.5% 22.7h -
45 PANW 42 32 +5.84% $15,212 $16,100 52 67% - +$888 -18.6% 2.6d -
46 GILD 39 6🧊 +5.77% $13,933 $14,737 37 59% - +$804 -16.0% 3.6d -
47 NVDA 45 70🔥 +5.05% $21,419 $22,501 46 59% - +$1,082 -35.3% 1.8d -
48 SPXU 19 9 +4.85% $10,046 $10,533 48 58% - +$487 -29.5% 2.3d -
49 PEP 20 20 +4.59% $10,185 $10,653 33 64% - +$467 -16.0% 4.4d -
50 REGN 11 10 +4.30% $7,761 $8,095 39 62% - +$334 -42.3% 3.1d -
51 JPM 36 44 +3.41% $13,836 $14,308 37 62% - +$472 -21.7% 3.6d -
52 ORCL 32 31 +2.68% $14,977 $15,379 59 56% - +$401 -37.5% 2.4d -
53 PM 34 56🔥 +2.66% $13,332 $13,686 39 62% - +$355 -19.7% 3.9d -
54 SCHW 24 5 +2.41% $11,236 $11,507 39 62% - +$271 -16.1% 3.8d -
55 META 33 26 +2.29% $14,760 $15,098 41 56% - +$338 -36.9% 2.8d -
56 MCD 20 1 +2.01% $10,542 $10,754 29 45% - +$212 -15.2% 4.4d -
57 COST 32 12 +1.85% $12,644 $12,878 33 61% - +$234 -17.4% 4.1d -
58 ACN 8 37🔥 +1.26% $6,721 $6,805 42 60% - +$85 -41.3% 3.4d -
59 VRTX 21 6 +0.21% $10,698 $10,721 35 54% - +$22 -21.3% 3.5d -
60 QQQ 21 66🔥 +0.04% $10,670 $10,675 32 53% - +$4 -24.0% 4.3d -
61 MS 42 71🔥 -0.13% $16,421 $16,400 42 60% - -$21 -18.0% 3.4d -
62 IWM 39 53 -0.78% $14,105 $13,995 33 52% - -$110 -11.9% 3.8d -
63 BIIB 10 40🔥 -0.93% $8,515 $8,436 42 55% - -$79 -32.7% 3.0d -
64 BLK 32 27 -1.09% $13,245 $13,100 41 49% - -$144 -17.7% 3.6d -
65 MA 37 10🧊 -1.76% $13,839 $13,596 36 53% - -$244 -12.2% 4.1d -
66 ARM 37 68🔥 -2.45% $16,078 $15,684 63 54% - -$394 -36.8% 1.4d -
67 MU 40 52 -2.49% $19,645 $19,156 66 55% - -$489 -32.2% 1.8d -
68 BRK-B 43 5🧊 -2.95% $14,490 $14,063 30 43% - -$427 -10.0% 4.4d -
69 WFC 35 6🧊 -3.00% $13,850 $13,435 40 60% - -$416 -17.9% 3.2d -
70 SOXL 43 35 -3.42% $20,838 $20,125 69 57% - -$713 -33.0% 20.2h -
71 DKNG 12 59🔥 -3.56% $8,727 $8,417 56 57% - -$311 -46.7% 1.8d -
72 LLY 23 7 -5.20% $12,169 $11,536 46 50% - -$633 -33.4% 2.6d -
73 TLT 10 3 -6.30% $9,417 $8,824 26 38% - -$593 -15.8% 5.2d -
74 SLV 32 9🧊 -6.99% $14,164 $13,174 59 54% - -$990 -18.7% 2.8d -
75 RIOT 11 43🔥 -7.63% $6,002 $5,544 76 58% - -$458 -55.6% 17.3h -
76 AVGO 44 49 -8.66% $19,850 $18,131 53 55% - -$1,719 -21.1% 1.9d -
77 TSLA 28 80🔥 -8.90% $14,259 $12,990 51 55% - -$1,269 -37.6% 1.5d -
78 TMO 10 5 -8.98% $9,720 $8,847 40 53% - -$873 -23.9% 3.6d -
79 DIS 8 2 -9.04% $9,666 $8,792 35 43% - -$874 -25.4% 3.7d -
80 ADBE 9 52🔥 -9.08% $7,354 $6,686 42 52% - -$668 -40.9% 3.1d -
81 GS 58 13🧊 -9.44% $21,507 $19,477 44 50% - -$2,030 -13.2% 3.2d -
82 PYPL 11 67🔥 -9.72% $9,435 $8,517 43 53% - -$917 -52.5% 2.7d -
83 CRM 10 15 -9.84% $7,050 $6,356 46 59% - -$694 -46.3% 3.1d -
84 CMCSA 6 2 -10.15% $5,986 $5,378 35 49% - -$608 -47.7% 3.7d -
85 COIN 9 16 -11.36% $4,420 $3,918 66 55% - -$502 -67.1% 23.4h -
86 MSFT 29 59🔥 -12.18% $14,129 $12,408 38 55% - -$1,721 -19.1% 3.9d -
87 MDT 7 5 -12.67% $10,213 $8,919 33 36% - -$1,294 -15.1% 4.3d -
88 ISRG 17 5 -14.75% $12,075 $10,294 38 45% - -$1,781 -39.2% 3.1d -
89 PLTR 45 51 -15.52% $23,581 $19,921 64 53% - -$3,660 -26.0% 1.3d -
90 UNH 10 64🔥 -15.69% $8,903 $7,506 37 49% - -$1,397 -41.5% 3.0d -
91 ABBV 13 3 -17.44% $12,204 $10,075 37 51% - -$2,128 -25.0% 3.7d -
92 HD 19 6 -19.98% $13,361 $10,691 38 37% - -$2,669 -18.6% 3.9d -
93 NIO 9 35🔥 -20.68% $8,552 $6,783 58 52% - -$1,769 -39.7% 1.4d -
94 CRWD 13 27 -21.49% $12,306 $9,661 54 52% - -$2,645 -37.8% 1.8d -
95 AMC 9 15 -23.45% $5,727 $4,384 56 48% - -$1,343 -57.1% 1.4d -
96 LCID 8 15 -26.53% $4,090 $3,005 69 54% - -$1,085 -69.8% 23.6h -
97 HOOD 11 40🔥 -26.98% $13,226 $9,658 63 51% - -$3,568 -32.1% 1.3d -
98 SHIBUSD -33.61% $10,098 $6,704 87 57% $3,511 -$3,394 -99.3% 8.9h 2 Jan 12, 2026
99 ARKK 11 12 -33.67% $12,082 $8,014 44 45% - -$4,068 -23.5% 2.4d -
100 SOFI 10 18 -41.93% $13,840 $8,037 59 46% - -$5,803 -43.4% 1.4d -
101 MARA 11 14 -44.55% $12,228 $6,781 78 46% - -$5,448 -40.2% 16.1h -
102 TQQQ 11 35🔥 -46.54% $10,953 $5,855 56 41% - -$5,097 -41.0% 1.5d -
103 BTCUSD 11 84🔥 -47.57% $1,419 $744 159 57% $15,696 -$675 -95.2% 1.1d -
104 RBLX 31 13 -47.86% $26,333 $13,730 62 47% - -$12,603 -34.9% 1.9d -
105 DOGEUSD -56.16% $10,101 $4,428 157 58% $5,179 -$5,672 -99.1% 8.2h 2 Dec 7, 2025
106 LINKUSD -63.82% $10,099 $3,654 165 56% $5,330 -$6,445 -99.1% 9.0h 2 Nov 21, 2025
107 ETHUSD -70.46% $10,096 $2,982 168 54% $4,681 -$7,114 -99.2% 15.1h 1 Nov 13, 2025
108 DOTUSD -79.73% $10,098 $2,047 243 55% $4,762 -$8,051 -99.0% 9.9h 2 Nov 12, 2025
109 LTCUSD -83.00% $2,605 $443 184 55% $10,066 -$2,162 -99.1% 11.8h 1 Mar 3, 2025
110 XRPUSD -84.80% $7,756 $1,179 195 55% $5,991 -$6,577 -99.0% 11.7h 1 Aug 14, 2025
111 AVAXUSD -87.17% $10,099 $1,296 181 55% $5,219 -$8,803 -99.2% 8.7h 2 Oct 10, 2025
112 PEPEUSD -87.54% $10,092 $1,258 247 56% $8,303 -$8,835 -99.6% 5.0h 2 Sep 22, 2025
113 SOLUSD -90.81% $1,834 $169 207 55% $10,449 -$1,665 -99.1% 9.6h 1 Feb 18, 2025
114 UNIUSD -92.19% $9,881 $772 280 56% $7,266 -$9,109 -99.1% 8.0h 2 Sep 1, 2025

👤 Personality

Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.