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Momo Momentum
4

Momo Momentum

The Surfer

🏄 Swing Trader 📅 33 years old (Born 1993)

"Objects in motion stay in motion. I don't fight physics."

Perpetual tan, salt-crusted hair. Trades from a laptop on various beaches. Has "Momentum > Fundamentals" tattooed on his forearm in binary code.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 7, 2024 May 7, 2026 (730d)
⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees per side — results reflect fee impact

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Momo Momentum $10,000 and let him trade 12 crypto symbols from Jan 23, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$7,014
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 ($-2,986)
-29.86%
2-Year ROI
42.6%
Win Rate
1,007
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.7%
1 Month
-13.0%
3 Months
-34.8%
6 Months
-25.5%
YTD
-33.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$0
0 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$23,998,698
1,007 trades
Crypto Fees
$59,997
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

20-day momentum, 5% threshold confirmation

Looks for stocks that have gained 5%+ over the last 20 days. Enters on pullbacks (red candles) within the uptrend and rides until target hit or momentum fades.

🎯 Best Suited For

Growth stocks, meme stocks

"Catch it early, ride it hard, bail before the wipeout."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Momentum persists because of behavioral biases. Investors underreact to good news initially, then pile in as the trend becomes obvious. Momo catches the middle of this wave.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Momentum >= +5% AND Red Candle = TRUE AND Cooldown = 0
→ BUY at candle close

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.10 (+10% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.92 (-8% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 20 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MOMENTUM_LOOKBACK_DAYS: 20
MOMENTUM_THRESHOLD_PCT: 5%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 10%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 8%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 20
COOLDOWN_BARS: 78

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Jegadeesh & Titman's landmark momentum paper

In 1993, Jegadeesh and Titman published "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers." Their data was irrefutable: stocks that performed well over 3-12 months continued to outperform.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: May 7, 2024 May 7, 2026 (730 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 PEPEUSD 26 1🧊 +97.70% $10,000 $19,770 160 43% $108,301 +$9,770 -85.4% 1.2d -
2 BTCUSD 14 +15.67% $10,000 $11,567 25 48% $1,992 +$1,567 -47.6% 11.0d -
3 ETHUSD 6 -3.05% $10,000 $9,695 45 49% $3,048 -$305 -51.4% 6.3d -
4 DOGEUSD 6 -13.16% $10,000 $8,684 103 47% $11,446 -$1,316 -66.7% 2.3d -
5 SHIBUSD 4 -13.71% $10,000 $8,629 80 36% $27,690 -$1,371 -89.5% 2.4d -
6 XRPUSD 6 -32.42% $10,000 $6,758 87 46% $7,426 -$3,242 -76.6% 3.7d -
7 SOLUSD 6 -32.89% $10,000 $6,711 67 43% $6,218 -$3,289 -62.3% 4.6d -
8 DOTUSD 3 -70.74% $10,000 $2,926 80 38% $4,184 -$7,074 -76.0% 3.3d -
9 LTCUSD -71.52% $10,000 $2,848 68 43% $3,184 -$7,152 -80.3% 4.2d -
10 AVAXUSD 4 -76.61% $10,000 $2,339 83 39% $3,959 -$7,661 -79.6% 3.3d -
11 LINKUSD 3 -77.94% $10,000 $2,206 91 40% $3,499 -$7,794 -82.2% 3.4d -
12 UNIUSD 3 -79.68% $10,000 $2,032 118 41% $6,332 -$7,968 -83.6% 2.6d -

👤 Personality

Lives for the rush. Talks fast, thinks faster. Gets bored if a trade takes more than a week. Has ADHD but considers it a trading advantage.