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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader πŸ“… 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

πŸ“Š View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Feb 15, 2024 β†’ Feb 15, 2026 (731 days)
🎯 Asset Class: πŸ“ˆ Stocks 102 β‚Ώ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

πŸ“Š 2 Years Performance: We gave Trent Follower $10,000 and let him trade 12 crypto symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟒 LIVE

$5,035
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 ($-4,965)
-49.65%
2-Year ROI
34.3%
Win Rate
2,538
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-8.9%
1 Month
-11.1%
3 Months
-9.0%
6 Months
-9.1%
YTD
-26.2%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

πŸ’° Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$0
0 trades
Stock Fees
$0
βœ“ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$16,981,206
2,538 trades
Crypto Fees
$42,453
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

βš™οΈ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

πŸ“œ Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or topsβ€”he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED β€” These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

πŸ“Š Entry Signal

πŸ“ˆ Entry Signal

Close β‰₯ SMA50 Γ— 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
β†’ BUY at current close price

πŸ“‰ Exit Conditions

β€’ TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
β€’ TARGET: Price β‰₯ entry Γ— 1.15 (+15% gain)
β€’ STOP_LOSS: Price ≀ entry Γ— 0.93 (-7% loss)
β€’ MAX_HOLD: Hold time β‰₯ 60 days

βš™οΈ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

πŸ“– Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

πŸ† Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

πŸ“‰ Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

πŸ“Š All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

πŸ“… 2 Years: Feb 15, 2024 β†’ Feb 15, 2026 (731 days)
Rank Symbol Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 ETHUSD β‚Ώ -8.71% $10,000 $9,129 91 40% $4,446 -$871 -15.0% 4.2h βœ“ -
2 LTCUSD β‚Ώ -10.70% $10,000 $8,930 136 40% $7,581 -$1,070 -34.2% 3.6h βœ“ -
3 BTCUSD β‚Ώ -22.81% $10,000 $7,719 35 43% $1,696 -$2,281 -23.1% 3.7h βœ“ -
4 DOTUSD β‚Ώ -37.57% $10,000 $6,243 178 35% $7,851 -$3,757 -42.0% 3.6h βœ“ -
5 XRPUSD β‚Ώ -43.14% $10,000 $5,686 195 30% $7,120 -$4,314 -50.6% 3.3h βœ“ -
6 AVAXUSD β‚Ώ -51.12% $10,000 $4,888 215 39% $7,576 -$5,112 -51.9% 3.6h βœ“ -
7 SHIBUSD β‚Ώ -53.21% $10,000 $4,679 263 31% $13,358 -$5,321 -73.4% 3.2h βœ“ -
8 SOLUSD β‚Ώ -64.54% $10,000 $3,546 176 34% $5,402 -$6,454 -66.6% 3.7h βœ“ -
9 LINKUSD β‚Ώ -64.74% $10,000 $3,526 208 31% $7,737 -$6,474 -63.7% 3.4h βœ“ -
10 UNIUSD β‚Ώ -69.59% $10,000 $3,041 311 29% $8,926 -$6,959 -78.6% 3.3h βœ“ -
11 DOGEUSD β‚Ώ -82.46% $10,000 $1,754 291 31% $8,241 -$8,246 -84.5% 3.3h βœ“ -
12 PEPEUSD β‚Ώ -87.18% πŸ”„ $10,099 $1,302 439 32% $9,119 -$8,798 -99.0% 2.9h 1 Apr 16, 2024

πŸ‘€ Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.