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Wally Whale
27

Wally Whale

The Vulture

πŸ‹ Crypto Native πŸ“… 15 years old (Born 2011)

"Whales can't hide on-chain. But the real edge isn't following their buysβ€”it's buying their forced sells."

Man in his late 40s with sonar-like awareness. Multiple monitors showing blockchain explorers and liquidation data. Maritime aesthetic with a vulture's patience.

πŸ“Š View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Feb 14, 2024 β†’ Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)
🎯 Asset Class: β‚Ώ Crypto 12 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

πŸ“Š 2 Years Performance: We gave Wally Whale $10,000 and let her trade 12 crypto symbols from Jan 3, 2024 to today. 🟒 LIVE

$11,918
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 (+$1,918)
+19.18%
2-Year ROI
50.7%
Win Rate
591
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

0.0%
1 Month
+0.9%
3 Months
-4.7%
6 Months
0.0%
YTD
-8.0%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

πŸ’° Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$0
0 trades
Stock Fees
$0
βœ“ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$9,354,384
591 trades
Crypto Fees
$23,386
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

βš™οΈ Trading Strategy

Buy 3Γ— volume spikes AFTER 15%+ dumps from 24h high

Original strategy (v1) bought volume spikes with rising pricesβ€”this caught tops and bled out (-84% avg return). BENED's backtesting revealed the OPPOSITE works. Unlike Luke who uses 4h lookback, Wally uses 24-HOUR lookback for BIGGER whale capitulation events. 604 trades over 2 years with +19% average return.

🎯 Best Suited For

Post-liquidation bounces in volatile crypto

"Don't follow the whale. Become the whale when others are drowning."

πŸ“œ Why This Strategy Works

Luke catches quick liquidation bounces (4h window). Wally catches WHALE-sized capitulation (24h window). Bigger moves take longer to develop but bounce harder when they reverse.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED β€” These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

πŸ“Š Entry Signal (Whale Capitulation Buy)

πŸ“ˆ Entry Signal (Whale Capitulation Buy)

Price down β‰₯15% from 24-HOUR high AND Volume β‰₯ 3Γ— 20-period average
β†’ BUY - Whale capitulation detected, bigger picture dump

πŸ“‰ Exit Conditions

β€’ TARGET: Price β‰₯ entry Γ— 1.05 (+5% gain)
β€’ STOP_LOSS: Price ≀ entry Γ— 0.97 (-3% loss)
β€’ MAX_HOLD: 12 hours (half-day bounce window)
Risk/Reward: 1.67:1 (5% target / 3% stop)

βš™οΈ Simulation Parameters

DUMP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 15%
VOLUME_MULTIPLIER: 3
VOLUME_LOOKBACK: 20
LOOKBACK_BARS: 288
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_HOURS: 12

πŸ“– Historical Origin

Origin: Blockchain analysts tracking large wallets and capitulation events

By 2011, analysts realized they could track large wallets. The original "follow the whale" thesis seemed logicalβ€”but backtesting 2024-2026 data revealed it was a consistent loser. BENED refined the strategy to buy whale CAPITULATION instead of whale accumulation.

πŸ† Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

πŸ“‰ Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

πŸ“Š All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

πŸ“… 2 Years: Feb 14, 2024 β†’ Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)
Rank Symbol Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 SHIBUSD β‚Ώ +116.71% $10,000 $21,671 46 52% $4,258 +$11,671 -31.6% 2.6h βœ“ -
2 PEPEUSD β‚Ώ +93.19% $10,000 $19,319 197 47% $23,551 +$9,319 -60.1% 3.5h βœ“ -
3 DOGEUSD β‚Ώ +26.55% $10,000 $12,655 47 51% $3,045 +$2,655 -32.2% 4.2h βœ“ -
4 SOLUSD β‚Ώ +21.81% $10,000 $12,181 26 50% $1,706 +$2,181 -15.6% 3.4h βœ“ -
5 XRPUSD β‚Ώ +20.98% $10,000 $12,098 30 60% $1,893 +$2,098 -31.3% 2.0h βœ“ -
6 ETHUSD β‚Ώ +9.89% $10,000 $10,989 17 59% $869 +$989 -12.7% 3.1h βœ“ -
7 UNIUSD β‚Ώ +7.47% $10,000 $10,747 60 53% $3,402 +$747 -42.4% 3.8h βœ“ -
8 BTCUSD β‚Ώ +7.12% $10,000 $10,712 5 60% $259 +$712 -3.5% 1.2h βœ“ -
9 LINKUSD β‚Ώ -6.24% $10,000 $9,376 39 38% $2,304 -$624 -30.8% 3.4h βœ“ -
10 DOTUSD β‚Ώ -15.75% $10,000 $8,425 43 47% $2,208 -$1,575 -31.1% 3.2h βœ“ -
11 AVAXUSD β‚Ώ -20.40% $10,000 $7,960 48 46% $2,634 -$2,040 -45.2% 2.8h βœ“ -
12 LTCUSD β‚Ώ -31.13% $10,000 $6,887 33 45% $1,499 -$3,113 -49.6% 3.3h βœ“ -

πŸ‘€ Personality

Obsessive researcher. Originally followed whale accumulation, but learned the hard way that buying INTO volume spikes means buying tops. Now waits for capitulation.