AVAXUSD Wally Whale's Analysis
2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-02-14 21:45:00+00 • 50 trades executed
-21.41%
2 Years Return
$7,959.61
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,127.76
Period Start
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-02-14 → 2026-02-14
Trading Days
732 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,127.76
Current Value
$7,959.61
Total P&L
$-2,168.15
Max Drawdown
-45.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
48
Winners / Losers
22 /
26
Best Trade
+17.42%
Worst Trade
-20.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,014,024.55
Estimated Fees
$2,535.06
Gross P&L
$-2,168.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,703.21
Gross Return
-21.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-46.44%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 732 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $10,127.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2024 2:50pm ET | $37.78 | 268 | $10,127.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2024 6:45pm ET | $39.70 | 268 | $10,642.46 | $10,590.53 |
+$462.77 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2024 5:05am ET | $49.39 | 214 | $10,590.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 15, 2024 9:35am ET | $52.30 | 214 | $11,214.51 | $11,160.00 |
+$569.47 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2024 2:30am ET | $52.00 | 215 | $11,160.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2024 4:55am ET | $54.85 | 215 | $11,771.65 | $11,714.32 |
+$554.32 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2024 3:10am ET | $55.63 | 211 | $11,714.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2024 3:45am ET | $58.45 | 211 | $12,308.14 | $12,248.09 |
+$533.77 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
36m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2024 12:25pm ET | $51.15 | 239 | $12,248.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2024 2:00pm ET | $53.92 | 239 | $12,911.38 | $12,848.48 |
+$600.39 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 12, 2024 2:30pm ET | $38.54 | 333 | $12,848.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 12, 2024 2:35pm ET | $37.23 | 333 | $12,411.75 | $12,348.60 |
$-499.88 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 12, 2024 2:35pm ET | $37.23 | 332 | $12,348.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 12, 2024 4:10pm ET | $39.25 | 332 | $13,018.60 | $12,955.18 |
+$606.58 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2024 1:00pm ET | $36.89 | 351 | $12,955.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2024 1:35pm ET | $35.49 | 351 | $12,463.52 | $12,399.98 |
$-555.20 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2024 1:35pm ET | $35.49 | 349 | $12,399.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2024 3:50pm ET | $33.44 | 349 | $11,683.72 | $11,623.51 |
$-776.47 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2024 3:50pm ET | $33.44 | 348 | $11,623.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2024 4:05pm ET | $30.28 | 348 | $10,525.12 | $10,469.74 |
$-1,153.77 (-9.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2024 4:05pm ET | $30.28 | 346 | $10,469.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2024 5:55pm ET | $32.12 | 346 | $11,105.95 | $11,052.01 |
+$582.27 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2024 2:10pm ET | $31.31 | 353 | $11,052.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2024 2:30pm ET | $32.89 | 353 | $11,609.73 | $11,553.07 |
+$501.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 9:40pm ET | $25.24 | 458 | $11,553.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2024 10:30pm ET | $26.51 | 458 | $12,136.79 | $12,077.56 |
+$524.49 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET | $19.25 | 627 | $12,077.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2024 11:05pm ET | $18.61 | 627 | $11,676.02 | $11,616.64 |
$-460.92 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 1:10am ET | $18.72 | 621 | $11,616.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET | $17.54 | 621 | $10,884.39 | $10,828.14 |
$-788.50 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET | $17.54 | 617 | $10,828.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 3:15am ET | $18.66 | 617 | $11,519.56 | $11,463.69 |
+$635.55 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 6:15am ET | $18.39 | 623 | $11,463.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 7:25am ET | $17.66 | 623 | $11,008.63 | $10,952.45 |
$-511.24 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 7:55am ET | $18.23 | 601 | $10,952.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:25am ET | $17.47 | 601 | $10,495.85 | $10,442.23 |
$-510.22 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $18.31 | 570 | $10,442.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 10:00am ET | $19.34 | 570 | $11,026.79 | $10,973.12 |
+$530.89 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2024 11:35pm ET | $32.01 | 343 | $10,973.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 9:05am ET | $33.96 | 343 | $11,641.59 | $11,585.05 |
+$611.93 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 5:35pm ET | $40.67 | 285 | $11,585.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2024 9:05pm ET | $42.75 | 285 | $12,177.55 | $12,118.14 |
+$533.09 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2024 3:15am ET | $40.39 | 300 | $12,118.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 6:20am ET | $39.14 | 300 | $11,743.10 | $11,683.45 |
$-434.69 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 3:50pm ET | $45.97 | 254 | $11,683.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $41.10 | 254 | $10,445.72 | $10,390.40 |
$-1,293.05 (-10.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $41.10 | 253 | $10,390.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET | $43.89 | 253 | $11,095.73 | $11,042.02 |
+$651.62 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET | $43.89 | 252 | $11,042.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:30pm ET | $46.16 | 252 | $11,613.12 | $11,556.48 |
+$514.46 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 7:00pm ET | $44.55 | 259 | $11,556.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 10:10pm ET | $42.94 | 259 | $11,138.84 | $11,082.10 |
$-474.38 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:10pm ET | $42.94 | 258 | $11,082.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 12:00am ET | $45.15 | 258 | $11,652.46 | $11,595.63 |
+$513.53 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 12:45pm ET | $40.16 | 289 | $11,595.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 1:20pm ET | $38.79 | 289 | $11,200.06 | $11,143.07 |
$-452.56 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 5:10am ET | $34.95 | 319 | $11,143.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 6:40am ET | $33.79 | 319 | $10,773.23 | $10,718.44 |
$-424.63 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 8:30am ET | $36.29 | 295 | $10,718.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 10:25am ET | $38.18 | 295 | $11,276.66 | $11,221.67 |
+$503.23 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 2:00pm ET | $28.13 | 399 | $11,221.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 5:35pm ET | $27.15 | 399 | $10,830.73 | $10,775.60 |
$-446.07 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 5:40pm ET | $26.62 | 405 | $10,775.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $25.17 | 405 | $10,188.65 | $10,136.24 |
$-639.36 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $25.17 | 403 | $10,136.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET | $24.13 | 403 | $9,717.42 | $9,667.79 |
$-468.45 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 3:00am ET | $25.20 | 384 | $9,667.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $26.60 | 384 | $10,204.89 | $10,155.21 |
+$487.42 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 7:10pm ET | $21.40 | 475 | $10,155.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 2:25am ET | $20.64 | 475 | $9,794.56 | $9,744.68 |
$-410.53 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 2:55pm ET | $20.92 | 466 | $9,744.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $20.20 | 466 | $9,409.30 | $9,361.41 |
$-383.27 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 8:40pm ET | $20.06 | 467 | $9,361.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 8:40am ET | $19.66 | 467 | $9,174.74 | $9,128.40 |
$-233.01 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $20.19 | 452 | $9,128.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $19.51 | 452 | $8,820.96 | $8,776.08 |
$-352.32 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 11:35am ET | $19.07 | 460 | $8,776.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 12:25pm ET | $20.18 | 460 | $9,286.91 | $9,241.75 |
+$465.67 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 8:15pm ET | $16.20 | 570 | $9,241.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 8:35pm ET | $15.70 | 570 | $8,956.51 | $8,911.02 |
$-330.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 8:50pm ET | $15.53 | 574 | $8,911.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 10:15pm ET | $16.34 | 574 | $9,375.22 | $9,329.50 |
+$418.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $28.95 | 322 | $9,329.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 11:20pm ET | $28.06 | 322 | $9,042.69 | $8,996.76 |
$-332.74 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $23.06 | 390 | $8,996.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $18.31 | 390 | $7,143.57 | $7,103.22 |
$-1,893.54 (-20.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $18.31 | 388 | $7,103.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET | $21.50 | 388 | $8,340.76 | $8,302.15 |
+$1,198.93 (+17.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 7:05am ET | $22.74 | 365 | $8,302.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2025 3:30pm ET | $22.05 | 365 | $8,050.24 | $8,009.36 |
$-292.79 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 5:05pm ET | $21.02 | 381 | $8,009.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 12, 2025 5:05am ET | $20.97 | 381 | $7,990.31 | $7,950.31 |
$-59.05 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $8.37 | 950 | $7,950.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $8.10 | 950 | $7,696.91 | $7,657.79 |
$-292.52 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET | $8.31 | 922 | $7,657.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 7:50am ET | $8.68 | 922 | $7,998.75 | $7,959.61 |
+$301.82 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,959.61
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,040.39
Total Return:
-20.40%