Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:29:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 9.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 9.8

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.4%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,133.33
Current Value
$6,676.66
Period P&L
$-456.67
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+3.28%
Worst Trade
-2.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
15.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$182,849.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-456.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-456.67
Gross Return
-6.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,133.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $243.59 29 $7,064.11
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $247.35 29 $7,173.29 $7,242.51 +$109.18
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $241.40 30 $7,241.85
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $238.92 30 $7,167.60 $7,168.26 $-74.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $240.26 29 $6,967.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $239.57 29 $6,947.53 $7,148.25 $-20.01
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $254.74 28 $7,132.58
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $263.09 28 $7,366.52 $7,382.19 +$233.94
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $264.17 27 $7,132.46
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $261.52 27 $7,061.04 $7,310.77 $-71.42
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $256.34 28 $7,177.52
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $260.58 28 $7,296.24 $7,429.49 +$118.72
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $258.63 28 $7,241.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $255.12 28 $7,143.36 $7,331.29 $-98.20
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $244.66 29 $7,095.14
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $241.70 29 $7,009.30 $7,245.45 $-85.84
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $232.65 31 $7,212.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $227.99 31 $7,067.54 $7,100.99 $-144.46
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 35 $7,084.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $197.04 35 $6,896.23 $6,913.22 $-187.77
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $209.04 33 $6,898.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $206.79 33 $6,824.23 $6,839.14 $-74.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.77 33 $6,823.41
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $204.01 33 $6,732.33 $6,748.06 $-91.08
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $193.60 34 $6,582.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $191.50 34 $6,511.00 $6,676.66 $-71.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,676.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,323.34
Total Return: -33.23%
Back to Anchor