Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:30:17

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 10.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.9%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,013.78
Current Value
$8,985.65
Period P&L
$-28.13
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-1.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$195,219.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-28.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-28.13
Gross Return
-0.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,013.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $263.59 34 $8,962.06
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $263.33 34 $8,953.22 $9,060.19 $-8.84
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:10am ET $267.85 33 $8,839.05
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $267.58 33 $8,829.98 $9,051.12 $-9.07
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $269.87 33 $8,905.71
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $272.24 33 $8,983.92 $9,129.33 +$78.21
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $271.32 33 $8,953.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $266.29 33 $8,787.57 $8,963.51 $-165.82
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $257.16 34 $8,743.44
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $255.43 34 $8,684.79 $8,904.86 $-58.65
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $253.78 35 $8,882.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $254.83 35 $8,919.05 $8,941.61 +$36.75
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $246.64 36 $8,879.04
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $243.93 36 $8,781.48 $8,844.05 $-97.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $244.47 36 $8,800.92
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $243.60 36 $8,769.78 $8,812.91 $-31.14
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $237.93 37 $8,803.41
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $243.21 37 $8,998.77 $9,008.27 +$195.36
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:35am ET $245.76 36 $8,847.36
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $248.03 36 $8,929.08 $9,089.99 +$81.72
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $244.18 37 $9,034.84
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET $241.37 37 $8,930.51 $8,985.65 $-104.34
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,985.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,014.35
Total Return: -10.14%
Back to Anchor