Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:34:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 13.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.1

30-Day Momentum

48
+7.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.7 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,982.78
Current Value
$9,693.34
Period P&L
$710.56
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+4.84%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
23.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$187,392.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$710.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$710.56
Gross Return
+7.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,982.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.25 119 $8,954.16
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $77.18 119 $9,184.42 $9,213.04 +$230.26
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:35am ET $77.44 118 $9,137.92
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $77.15 118 $9,104.29 $9,179.41 $-33.63
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $77.61 118 $9,158.57
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $81.38 118 $9,602.25 $9,623.09 +$443.68
(+4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $80.85 119 $9,620.89
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $80.59 119 $9,590.21 $9,592.41 $-30.68
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $78.48 122 $9,574.80
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $77.65 122 $9,473.30 $9,490.91 $-101.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $80.05 118 $9,445.90
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $78.38 118 $9,248.84 $9,293.85 $-197.06
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:55am ET $75.82 122 $9,250.04
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.36 122 $9,316.53 $9,360.34 +$66.49
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $74.00 126 $9,324.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $73.24 126 $9,228.24 $9,264.58 $-95.76
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $74.98 123 $9,222.52
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $78.25 123 $9,624.75 $9,666.81 +$402.23
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $79.11 122 $9,652.03
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $79.33 122 $9,678.56 $9,693.34 +$26.53
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,693.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-306.66
Total Return: -3.07%
Back to Anchor