Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:37:17

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,522.05
Current Value
$9,021.73
Period P&L
$-500.32
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+9.01%
Worst Trade
-3.24%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
22h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$215,883.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-500.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-500.32
Gross Return
-5.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,522.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $189.80 50 $9,490.25
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $194.26 50 $9,712.75 $9,744.55 +$222.50
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:45am ET $184.34 52 $9,585.68
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $182.47 52 $9,488.44 $9,647.31 $-97.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $174.92 55 $9,620.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $170.41 55 $9,372.66 $9,399.37 $-247.94
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $181.65 51 $9,264.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $177.21 51 $9,037.56 $9,172.94 $-226.43
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $176.94 51 $9,023.94
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $174.75 51 $8,912.25 $9,061.25 $-111.69
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10am ET $167.90 53 $8,898.44
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:20am ET $165.70 53 $8,782.10 $8,944.91 $-116.34
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET $163.21 54 $8,813.34
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $157.92 54 $8,527.68 $8,659.25 $-285.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $161.38 53 $8,553.14
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 53 $8,336.90 $8,443.01 $-216.24
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $154.03 54 $8,317.62
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $154.71 54 $8,354.34 $8,479.73 +$36.72
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $157.42 53 $8,343.26
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 53 $9,094.80 $9,231.27 +$751.54
(+9.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $169.42 54 $9,148.69
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $167.64 54 $9,052.56 $9,135.14 $-96.13
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET $169.13 54 $9,133.03
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $167.03 54 $9,019.62 $9,021.73 $-113.41
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,021.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-978.27
Total Return: -9.78%
Back to Anchor