Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:30:51

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 14.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-7.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,730.87
Current Value
$9,011.81
Period P&L
$-719.06
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+1.60%
Worst Trade
-3.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$225,681.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-719.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-719.06
Gross Return
-7.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,730.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $192.20 50 $9,609.75
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $190.12 50 $9,506.00 $9,627.12 $-103.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $190.45 50 $9,522.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $188.91 50 $9,445.75 $9,550.37 $-76.75
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $181.22 52 $9,423.44
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $184.12 52 $9,574.24 $9,701.17 +$150.80
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $182.71 53 $9,683.89
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $180.84 53 $9,584.26 $9,601.53 $-99.64
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET $185.85 51 $9,478.35
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $186.62 51 $9,517.62 $9,640.80 +$39.27
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $190.73 50 $9,536.50
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $189.18 50 $9,458.75 $9,563.05 $-77.75
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $188.13 50 $9,406.50
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $188.70 50 $9,435.00 $9,591.55 +$28.50
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $188.01 51 $9,588.51
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:25am ET $186.06 51 $9,489.06 $9,492.10 $-99.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $191.24 49 $9,370.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $191.39 49 $9,378.11 $9,499.65 +$7.55
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $186.17 51 $9,494.67
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $178.90 51 $9,123.90 $9,128.88 $-370.77
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $179.64 50 $8,982.01
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $179.15 50 $8,957.50 $9,104.37 $-24.51
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $175.07 52 $9,103.38
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $173.29 52 $9,010.82 $9,011.81 $-92.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,011.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-988.19
Total Return: -9.88%
Back to Anchor