Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:29:32

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 13.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,966.45
Current Value
$9,744.01
Period P&L
$-222.44
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-1.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$231,387.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-222.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-222.44
Gross Return
-2.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,966.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $101.90 96 $9,782.40
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $103.30 96 $9,916.80 $9,966.45 +$134.40
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $103.56 96 $9,941.76
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $103.19 96 $9,906.23 $9,930.92 $-35.53
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:05am ET $104.08 95 $9,887.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $103.81 95 $9,861.95 $9,905.27 $-25.65
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $103.25 95 $9,808.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $102.14 95 $9,703.30 $9,800.15 $-105.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $101.79 96 $9,771.48
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $100.37 96 $9,635.52 $9,664.19 $-135.96
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $100.75 95 $9,571.25
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $99.55 95 $9,457.25 $9,550.19 $-114.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:50am ET $100.51 95 $9,548.44
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $99.48 95 $9,450.60 $9,452.35 $-97.84
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $99.26 95 $9,429.70
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $99.44 95 $9,446.80 $9,469.45 +$17.10
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $99.21 95 $9,425.42
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $98.57 95 $9,364.62 $9,408.65 $-60.80
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $98.59 95 $9,366.05
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 95 $9,618.28 $9,660.88 +$252.23
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $101.66 95 $9,657.70
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $101.43 95 $9,635.85 $9,639.03 $-21.85
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $100.50 95 $9,547.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $101.61 95 $9,652.48 $9,744.01 +$104.98
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,744.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-255.99
Total Return: -2.56%
Back to Anchor