Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:30:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 43.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 42.8

30-Day Momentum

10
-5.2%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,085.68
Current Value
$13,962.43
Period P&L
$-1,123.25
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
3 / 11
Best Trade
+6.53%
Worst Trade
-2.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
11.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$396,551.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,123.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,123.25
Gross Return
-7.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $15,085.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $74.03 199 $14,730.98
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.80 199 $15,083.34 $15,085.68 +$352.37
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $75.62 199 $15,048.38
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $74.69 199 $14,863.29 $14,900.59 $-185.09
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $74.19 200 $14,838.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $73.92 200 $14,783.00 $14,845.59 $-55.00
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $74.73 198 $14,796.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $73.56 198 $14,564.88 $14,613.93 $-231.66
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $92.86 157 $14,579.02
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $91.83 157 $14,417.31 $14,452.22 $-161.71
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $91.02 158 $14,381.57
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $88.68 158 $14,010.65 $14,081.30 $-370.92
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 165 $14,043.15
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $83.92 165 $13,845.98 $13,884.13 $-197.17
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $86.98 159 $13,829.82
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $84.76 159 $13,476.52 $13,530.83 $-353.30
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $84.68 159 $13,463.33
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $86.00 159 $13,674.00 $13,741.50 +$210.67
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $88.08 156 $13,740.50
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $87.11 156 $13,589.16 $13,590.16 $-151.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $89.15 152 $13,550.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $88.11 152 $13,392.72 $13,432.08 $-158.08
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $92.82 144 $13,366.08
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $98.89 144 $14,239.44 $14,305.44 +$873.36
(+6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $98.00 145 $14,210.72
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $96.95 145 $14,057.75 $14,152.46 $-152.98
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $107.50 131 $14,082.50
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $106.05 131 $13,892.47 $13,962.43 $-190.03
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,962.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,962.43
Total Return: +39.62%
Back to Anchor