Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:29:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.2

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.1%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.8 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,331.57
Current Value
$8,339.22
Period P&L
$7.65
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+8.00%
Worst Trade
-1.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$222,583.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$7.65
Gross Return
+0.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,331.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $241.16 34 $8,199.44
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $260.46 34 $8,855.64 $8,987.77 +$656.20
(+8.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 36 $8,898.57
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $250.96 36 $9,034.56 $9,123.76 +$135.99
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $264.35 34 $8,987.73
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $261.30 34 $8,884.20 $9,020.23 $-103.53
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $322.65 27 $8,711.55
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 27 $8,562.38 $8,871.06 $-149.17
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $311.63 28 $8,725.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $307.88 28 $8,620.64 $8,766.06 $-105.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET $304.35 28 $8,521.80
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $301.07 28 $8,429.96 $8,674.22 $-91.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $282.82 30 $8,484.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $286.43 30 $8,592.90 $8,782.52 +$108.30
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $280.14 31 $8,684.34
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $277.12 31 $8,590.72 $8,688.90 $-93.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $276.13 31 $8,559.88
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $273.31 31 $8,472.61 $8,601.63 $-87.27
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $274.49 31 $8,509.34
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $275.71 31 $8,547.16 $8,639.45 +$37.82
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $270.14 31 $8,374.34
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET $267.04 31 $8,278.09 $8,543.19 $-96.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:10am ET $269.86 31 $8,365.66
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $266.08 31 $8,248.48 $8,426.01 $-117.18
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 33 $8,265.18
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $247.83 33 $8,178.39 $8,339.22 $-86.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,339.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,660.78
Total Return: -16.61%
Back to Anchor