Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 07:58:54

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.5

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.2%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,704.42
Current Value
$8,719.99
Period P&L
$15.57
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+2.02%
Worst Trade
-1.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
18.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$195,348.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$15.57
Gross Return
+0.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,704.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,038.26 8 $8,306.08
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,047.07 8 $8,376.56 $8,774.90 +$70.48
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,061.11 8 $8,488.88
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,071.17 8 $8,569.36 $8,855.38 +$80.48
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:50am ET $1,127.71 7 $7,893.97
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,125.41 7 $7,877.87 $8,839.28 $-16.10
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $1,087.44 8 $8,699.56
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $1,076.42 8 $8,611.32 $8,751.04 $-88.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,065.34 8 $8,522.72
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,060.74 8 $8,485.92 $8,714.24 $-36.80
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,133.12 7 $7,931.84
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,120.90 7 $7,846.30 $8,628.70 $-85.54
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,135.73 7 $7,950.14
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,158.66 7 $8,110.62 $8,789.18 +$160.48
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:45am ET $1,152.00 7 $8,064.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $1,139.82 7 $7,978.77 $8,703.95 $-85.23
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,142.10 7 $7,994.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $1,141.88 7 $7,993.13 $8,702.38 $-1.57
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $1,159.28 7 $8,114.96
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:30am ET $1,147.42 7 $8,031.91 $8,619.33 $-83.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,128.52 7 $7,899.61
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $1,136.13 7 $7,952.91 $8,672.63 +$53.30
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,114.28 7 $7,799.93
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,121.04 7 $7,847.28 $8,719.99 +$47.36
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,719.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,280.01
Total Return: -12.80%
Back to Anchor