Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 00:59:39

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,813.70
Current Value
$7,310.06
Period P&L
$-503.64
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.90

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+0.44%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.57%
Avg Hold Time
23.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,434.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-503.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-503.64
Gross Return
-6.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,813.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $497.13 15 $7,456.95
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $491.99 15 $7,379.85 $7,736.60 $-77.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $497.44 15 $7,461.60
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $494.36 15 $7,415.40 $7,690.40 $-46.20
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $493.45 15 $7,401.75
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $493.05 15 $7,395.82 $7,684.47 $-5.93
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $497.66 15 $7,464.90
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $494.48 15 $7,417.20 $7,636.77 $-47.70
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.95 15 $7,394.18
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $486.86 15 $7,302.90 $7,545.49 $-91.28
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $476.35 15 $7,145.23
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $470.02 15 $7,050.26 $7,450.52 $-94.97
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:50am ET $483.68 15 $7,255.20
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $485.65 15 $7,284.75 $7,480.07 +$29.55
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $487.95 15 $7,319.32
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $482.92 15 $7,243.80 $7,404.55 $-75.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $492.43 15 $7,386.45
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $487.42 15 $7,311.30 $7,329.40 $-75.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET $487.54 15 $7,313.10
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $489.67 15 $7,344.98 $7,361.28 +$31.88
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:30am ET $490.53 15 $7,357.95
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $492.00 15 $7,380.00 $7,383.33 +$22.05
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:45am ET $500.89 14 $7,012.51
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $495.66 14 $6,939.24 $7,310.06 $-73.27
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,310.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,689.94
Total Return: -26.90%
Back to Anchor