Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:32:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 29.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

35
+5.0%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.4 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,308.40
Current Value
$12,905.87
Period P&L
$597.47
Max Drawdown
-21.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+6.91%
Worst Trade
-2.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
13.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$299,212.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$597.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$597.47
Gross Return
+4.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,308.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $13.22 929 $12,276.92
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.24 929 $12,299.96 $12,308.40 +$23.04
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $13.90 885 $12,297.08
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $13.75 885 $12,168.75 $12,180.07 $-128.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $14.15 861 $12,178.85
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $13.95 861 $12,010.86 $12,012.09 $-167.98
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $13.65 879 $12,002.74
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $13.86 879 $12,184.70 $12,194.04 +$181.95
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $14.07 866 $12,184.62
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $14.57 866 $12,619.35 $12,628.77 +$434.73
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $13.99 902 $12,618.98
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $13.81 902 $12,456.62 $12,466.41 $-162.36
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $13.38 931 $12,456.78
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 931 $12,177.29 $12,186.92 $-279.49
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $13.71 888 $12,174.39
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.06 888 $12,480.84 $12,493.37 +$306.45
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $13.17 948 $12,485.16
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $13.03 948 $12,352.44 $12,360.65 $-132.72
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $12.82 964 $12,353.76
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $13.70 964 $13,206.80 $13,213.69 +$853.04
(+6.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $14.75 895 $13,201.16
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $14.60 895 $13,067.00 $13,079.53 $-134.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $14.30 914 $13,065.63
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $14.10 914 $12,891.97 $12,905.87 $-173.66
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,905.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,905.87
Total Return: +29.06%
Back to Anchor