Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:33:35

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

22
+1.6%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.6 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,608.79
Current Value
$9,834.12
Period P&L
$225.33
Max Drawdown
-8.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-1.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
21.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$234,107.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$225.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$225.33
Gross Return
+2.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,608.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $77.60 124 $9,622.40
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $77.40 124 $9,597.61 $9,652.20 $-24.79
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:55am ET $78.36 123 $9,638.28
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $78.37 123 $9,639.51 $9,653.43 +$1.23
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $77.70 124 $9,634.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $76.86 124 $9,530.02 $9,548.65 $-104.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $75.46 126 $9,507.33
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $75.82 126 $9,553.64 $9,594.96 +$46.31
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $73.89 129 $9,532.13
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.84 129 $9,525.36 $9,588.19 $-6.77
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:05am ET $77.23 124 $9,576.52
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $81.10 124 $10,056.15 $10,067.82 +$479.63
(+5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET $82.22 122 $10,030.84
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.31 122 $9,919.21 $9,956.19 $-111.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.63 123 $9,917.49
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $80.90 123 $9,950.70 $9,989.40 +$33.21
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET $81.53 122 $9,946.05
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $80.69 122 $9,843.86 $9,887.21 $-102.19
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $80.53 122 $9,824.66
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $80.21 122 $9,785.62 $9,848.17 $-39.04
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $80.36 122 $9,803.31
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $81.12 122 $9,896.64 $9,941.50 +$93.33
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $80.82 123 $9,941.47
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $79.95 123 $9,834.10 $9,834.12 $-107.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,834.12
Net Profit/Loss: $-165.88
Total Return: -1.66%
Back to Anchor