Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 13.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,182.84
Current Value
$9,114.70
Period P&L
$-68.14
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+3.27%
Worst Trade
-1.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$231,248.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-68.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-68.14
Gross Return
-0.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,182.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $120.49 76 $9,156.86
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $120.49 76 $9,157.24 $9,178.28 +$0.38
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $118.08 77 $9,092.16
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $116.63 77 $8,980.51 $9,066.63 $-111.65
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $122.99 73 $8,978.27
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $122.90 73 $8,971.70 $9,060.06 $-6.57
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $121.51 74 $8,992.11
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $120.74 74 $8,934.76 $9,002.71 $-57.35
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $118.87 75 $8,915.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $119.86 75 $8,989.50 $9,077.09 +$74.38
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 77 $9,025.17
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $115.69 77 $8,908.51 $8,960.44 $-116.65
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $118.04 75 $8,853.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $116.53 75 $8,739.38 $8,846.82 $-113.62
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $112.10 78 $8,743.83
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $113.36 78 $8,842.47 $8,945.46 +$98.64
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $113.74 78 $8,871.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $112.54 78 $8,778.12 $8,851.86 $-93.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $111.84 79 $8,835.36
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $110.70 79 $8,745.30 $8,761.80 $-90.06
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $109.88 79 $8,680.52
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $108.22 79 $8,549.38 $8,630.66 $-131.14
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $108.99 79 $8,610.21
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $112.56 79 $8,891.85 $8,912.30 +$281.64
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $111.27 80 $8,901.60
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $113.80 80 $9,104.00 $9,114.70 +$202.40
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,114.70
Net Profit/Loss: $-885.30
Total Return: -8.85%
Back to Anchor