Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:28:44

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,903.59
Current Value
$8,789.83
Period P&L
$-113.77
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-3.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$211,395.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-113.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-113.77
Gross Return
-1.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,903.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $419.42 21 $8,807.82
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $424.51 21 $8,914.71 $8,921.44 +$106.89
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:20am ET $417.68 21 $8,771.28
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 21 $8,747.65 $8,897.82 $-23.63
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $411.05 21 $8,632.05
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $413.02 21 $8,673.32 $8,939.09 +$41.27
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $442.19 20 $8,843.80
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $464.57 20 $9,291.30 $9,386.59 +$447.50
(+5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $446.97 21 $9,386.37
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $442.21 21 $9,286.41 $9,286.63 $-99.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $446.97 21 $9,386.37
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $429.71 21 $9,023.91 $8,924.17 $-362.46
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $426.13 20 $8,522.50
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:35am ET $421.86 20 $8,437.20 $8,838.87 $-85.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $411.17 21 $8,634.67
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $408.69 21 $8,582.49 $8,786.69 $-52.18
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $398.06 22 $8,757.32
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $394.54 22 $8,679.88 $8,709.25 $-77.44
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $384.60 22 $8,461.20
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $396.85 22 $8,730.70 $8,978.75 +$269.50
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $394.99 22 $8,689.82
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $391.02 22 $8,602.44 $8,891.37 $-87.38
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $383.33 23 $8,816.70
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $378.92 23 $8,715.16 $8,789.83 $-101.54
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,789.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,210.17
Total Return: -12.10%
Back to Anchor