Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:33:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.2%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,408.45
Current Value
$8,993.21
Period P&L
$-415.25
Max Drawdown
-14.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.55

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+0.82%
Worst Trade
-1.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$201,426.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-415.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-415.25
Gross Return
-4.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,408.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $87.84 106 $9,311.04
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $88.14 106 $9,343.11 $9,418.72 +$32.07
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $89.03 105 $9,348.15
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $88.53 105 $9,295.13 $9,365.70 $-53.02
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $87.07 107 $9,315.96
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $86.85 107 $9,292.42 $9,342.16 $-23.54
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $86.13 108 $9,302.04
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $85.76 108 $9,262.62 $9,302.74 $-39.42
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $84.32 110 $9,274.65
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $83.42 110 $9,176.20 $9,204.29 $-98.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $82.31 111 $9,136.41
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $81.47 111 $9,043.72 $9,111.61 $-92.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $81.54 111 $9,051.16
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $82.18 111 $9,122.53 $9,182.98 +$71.37
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $82.44 111 $9,150.85
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $81.83 111 $9,083.13 $9,115.26 $-67.72
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $80.72 112 $9,041.20
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $79.82 112 $8,939.99 $9,014.05 $-101.21
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.22 110 $8,934.20
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $81.89 110 $9,007.90 $9,087.75 +$73.70
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $77.97 116 $9,044.52
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $77.15 116 $8,949.98 $8,993.21 $-94.54
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,993.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,006.79
Total Return: -10.07%
Back to Anchor