Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:29:13

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 26.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 26.5

30-Day Momentum

17
+1.1%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,239.15
Current Value
$11,363.05
Period P&L
$123.90
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+4.58%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
23.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$271,882.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$123.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$123.90
Gross Return
+1.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,239.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $5.55 2,023 $11,237.76
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:10am ET $5.49 2,023 $11,116.38 $11,117.77 $-121.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $5.22 2,131 $11,113.17
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $5.26 2,131 $11,198.41 $11,203.01 +$85.24
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $5.63 1,989 $11,198.07
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $5.57 1,989 $11,078.73 $11,083.67 $-119.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $5.49 2,019 $11,081.69
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $5.74 2,019 $11,589.06 $11,591.04 +$507.37
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET $6.06 1,912 $11,588.06
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $6.00 1,912 $11,472.00 $11,474.98 $-116.06
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $5.76 1,992 $11,473.92
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $5.84 1,992 $11,633.28 $11,634.34 +$159.36
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $5.55 2,096 $11,633.01
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $5.49 2,096 $11,508.51 $11,509.84 $-124.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET $5.49 2,094 $11,506.53
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $5.43 2,094 $11,380.89 $11,384.20 $-125.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $5.29 2,152 $11,384.08
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.20 2,152 $11,190.40 $11,190.52 $-193.68
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $5.16 2,166 $11,187.39
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $5.30 2,166 $11,479.80 $11,482.93 +$292.41
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $5.25 2,186 $11,479.78
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.03 2,186 $10,995.58 $10,998.73 $-484.20
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $4.98 2,208 $10,995.84
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $5.14 2,208 $11,360.16 $11,363.05 +$364.32
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,363.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,363.05
Total Return: +13.63%
Back to Anchor