Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:30:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 13.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.5

30-Day Momentum

29
+2.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.7 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,479.73
Current Value
$9,723.50
Period P&L
$243.77
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-1.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
19.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,901.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$243.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$243.77
Gross Return
+2.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,479.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $221.47 42 $9,301.74
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $219.17 42 $9,205.14 $9,383.13 $-96.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:20am ET $216.16 43 $9,294.75
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $216.51 43 $9,309.93 $9,398.31 +$15.18
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $212.53 44 $9,351.32
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $209.96 44 $9,238.46 $9,285.45 $-112.86
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:35am ET $211.82 43 $9,108.26
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $214.21 43 $9,210.82 $9,388.00 +$102.55
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $219.16 42 $9,204.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $227.43 42 $9,551.85 $9,735.13 +$347.13
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $220.03 44 $9,681.32
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $216.82 44 $9,540.26 $9,594.08 $-141.05
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $212.55 45 $9,564.75
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $214.46 45 $9,650.92 $9,680.25 +$86.17
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $208.04 46 $9,569.84
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $210.85 46 $9,699.10 $9,809.51 +$129.26
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $204.83 47 $9,627.01
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $202.02 47 $9,494.94 $9,677.44 $-132.07
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:30am ET $200.71 48 $9,634.32
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $204.48 48 $9,815.04 $9,858.16 +$180.72
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $211.88 46 $9,746.48
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $211.18 46 $9,714.05 $9,825.73 $-32.43
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $207.32 47 $9,744.27
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $205.15 47 $9,642.05 $9,723.50 $-102.23
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,723.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-276.50
Total Return: -2.77%
Back to Anchor