Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:36:28

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.6/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 41.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 41.6

30-Day Momentum

40
+8.0%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,743.57
Current Value
$13,586.23
Period P&L
$842.66
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+11.30%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,942.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$842.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$842.66
Gross Return
+6.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,743.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $246.56 51 $12,574.56
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $241.46 51 $12,314.46 $12,314.81 $-260.10
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $259.41 47 $12,192.27
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $258.46 47 $12,147.85 $12,270.39 $-44.42
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $245.42 49 $12,025.68
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $249.10 49 $12,205.90 $12,450.61 +$180.22
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $256.32 48 $12,303.12
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $285.28 48 $13,693.44 $13,840.93 +$1,390.32
(+11.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $288.97 47 $13,581.59
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $279.96 47 $13,158.12 $13,417.46 $-423.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $273.93 48 $13,148.88
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $270.40 48 $12,979.44 $13,248.02 $-169.44
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $275.19 48 $13,209.12
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $272.40 48 $13,075.20 $13,114.10 $-133.92
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $266.59 49 $13,062.91
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $265.09 49 $12,989.41 $13,040.60 $-73.50
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $258.52 50 $12,926.25
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $261.34 50 $13,067.00 $13,181.35 +$140.75
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $274.58 48 $13,179.84
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $280.44 48 $13,461.12 $13,462.63 +$281.28
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $276.27 48 $13,261.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $278.85 48 $13,384.80 $13,586.23 +$123.60
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,586.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,586.23
Total Return: +35.86%
Back to Anchor