Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:34:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.2/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 37.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

37
+5.9%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.3 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,442.65
Current Value
$13,465.53
Period P&L
$22.88
Max Drawdown
-14.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+3.69%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$342,625.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.88
Gross Return
+0.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $13,442.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $43.95 289 $12,701.55
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $45.22 289 $13,067.14 $13,079.95 +$365.58
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:00am ET $46.59 280 $13,045.23
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $48.24 280 $13,507.20 $13,541.92 +$461.97
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $46.42 291 $13,506.91
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $45.79 291 $13,324.89 $13,359.90 $-182.02
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $46.44 287 $13,329.71
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $46.62 287 $13,379.94 $13,410.12 +$50.22
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $46.87 286 $13,404.82
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $46.24 286 $13,223.21 $13,228.51 $-181.61
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $43.71 302 $13,198.91
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05am ET $43.24 302 $13,058.48 $13,088.08 $-140.43
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET $43.89 298 $13,079.22
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $43.45 298 $12,947.35 $12,956.21 $-131.87
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $41.43 312 $12,926.16
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $41.96 312 $13,091.52 $13,121.57 +$165.36
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:15am ET $43.61 300 $13,083.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $43.10 300 $12,931.50 $12,969.32 $-152.25
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:55am ET $42.47 305 $12,953.35
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $42.03 305 $12,820.67 $12,836.64 $-132.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $41.90 306 $12,822.93
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $43.45 306 $13,295.70 $13,309.41 +$472.77
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $45.57 292 $13,306.44
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $46.58 292 $13,601.36 $13,604.33 +$294.92
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $48.67 279 $13,578.23
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $48.17 279 $13,439.43 $13,465.53 $-138.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,465.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,465.53
Total Return: +34.66%
Back to Anchor