Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 00:59:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 38.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.3

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.8%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,946.24
Current Value
$15,748.05
Period P&L
$-198.19
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+6.29%
Worst Trade
-7.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
22.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$381,692.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-198.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-198.19
Gross Return
-1.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $15,946.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $23.74 668 $15,858.79
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $23.81 668 $15,905.08 $15,919.52 +$46.29
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $24.74 643 $15,904.61
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.16 643 $16,174.67 $16,189.58 +$270.06
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $25.74 628 $16,164.72
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.71 628 $16,776.14 $16,801.00 +$611.42
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $27.37 613 $16,777.81
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $27.09 613 $16,606.17 $16,629.36 $-171.64
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $28.52 582 $16,601.55
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.20 582 $16,412.40 $16,440.21 $-189.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $27.89 589 $16,427.21
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $27.60 589 $16,256.40 $16,269.40 $-170.81
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.75 586 $16,258.57
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.77 586 $15,103.80 $15,114.63 $-1,154.77
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $25.73 587 $15,100.58
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $26.43 587 $15,514.41 $15,528.46 +$413.83
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $24.76 627 $15,524.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $24.35 627 $15,267.45 $15,271.39 $-257.07
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $24.96 611 $15,250.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $24.63 611 $15,045.88 $15,066.71 $-204.68
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $26.73 563 $15,048.99
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.41 563 $15,994.83 $16,012.55 +$945.84
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET $27.81 575 $15,990.75
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $27.35 575 $15,726.25 $15,748.05 $-264.50
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,748.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,748.05
Total Return: +57.48%
Back to Anchor