Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:34:38

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.3

30-Day Momentum

22
+2.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,898.75
Current Value
$6,560.51
Period P&L
$-338.24
Max Drawdown
-39.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+6.44%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
23h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$163,868.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-338.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-338.24
Gross Return
-4.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $6,898.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $12.81 497 $6,369.05
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.64 497 $6,779.08 $6,786.93 +$410.03
(+6.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $14.24 476 $6,780.62
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $14.37 476 $6,840.12 $6,846.43 +$59.50
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:15am ET $14.61 468 $6,837.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $14.58 468 $6,824.89 $6,833.84 $-12.59
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.22 421 $6,826.52
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $16.10 421 $6,778.10 $6,785.43 $-48.41
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $16.73 405 $6,775.65
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.72 405 $7,174.58 $7,184.36 +$398.93
(+5.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $17.94 400 $7,176.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $17.61 400 $7,044.00 $7,052.36 $-132.00
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $17.36 406 $7,050.19
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $17.14 406 $6,956.81 $6,958.98 $-93.38
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.76 441 $6,947.96
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $15.68 441 $6,914.88 $6,925.91 $-33.07
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $14.75 469 $6,917.75
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $14.51 469 $6,805.14 $6,813.30 $-112.61
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET $15.74 432 $6,801.84
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $15.53 432 $6,708.92 $6,720.38 $-92.92
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $16.82 399 $6,711.18
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $16.65 399 $6,643.35 $6,652.55 $-67.83
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.62 400 $6,648.04
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $16.39 400 $6,556.00 $6,560.51 $-92.04
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,560.51
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,439.49
Total Return: -34.39%
Back to Anchor