Compendium › Anchor › SMCI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SMCI
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-21 to present • 15 trades in period

-11.10%
Last Month Return
$5,900.63
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$6,637.65
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:31:32

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-11.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,637.65
Current Value
$5,900.63
Period P&L
$-737.03
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
3 / 12
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-2.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$190,620.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-737.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-737.03
Gross Return
-11.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $6,637.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $33.44 199 $6,655.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $33.09 199 $6,584.91 $6,590.89 $-70.64
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $35.37 186 $6,578.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $36.25 186 $6,742.50 $6,754.57 +$163.68
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $37.05 182 $6,743.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $38.07 182 $6,928.74 $6,940.23 +$185.66
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:50am ET $46.22 150 $6,932.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $45.47 150 $6,821.25 $6,829.23 $-111.00
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $47.62 143 $6,809.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.06 143 $6,729.58 $6,749.38 $-79.85
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $49.14 137 $6,732.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $47.98 137 $6,573.51 $6,590.71 $-158.67
(-2.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $46.16 142 $6,554.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $45.31 142 $6,433.31 $6,469.31 $-121.40
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $43.03 150 $6,454.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:30am ET $42.44 150 $6,366.75 $6,381.56 $-87.75
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $44.11 144 $6,351.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $43.59 144 $6,276.97 $6,306.69 $-74.87
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $35.63 177 $6,306.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $34.62 177 $6,127.72 $6,127.90 $-178.79
(-2.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $29.35 208 $6,104.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET $28.72 208 $5,972.72 $5,995.82 $-132.08
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:45am ET $30.61 195 $5,969.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $30.25 195 $5,898.75 $5,924.65 $-71.17
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:55am ET $31.21 189 $5,898.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $30.89 189 $5,837.27 $5,863.26 $-61.39
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $29.80 196 $5,840.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $29.32 196 $5,746.72 $5,769.18 $-94.08
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.82 207 $5,757.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $28.45 207 $5,889.15 $5,900.63 +$131.45
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,900.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,099.37
Total Return: -40.99%
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