Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:34:32

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 29.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

28
+5.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.3 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,024.44
Current Value
$12,255.34
Period P&L
$230.90
Max Drawdown
-20.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+6.33%
Worst Trade
-2.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
19.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$292,909.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$230.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$230.90
Gross Return
+1.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,024.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $15.08 773 $11,656.84
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $15.58 773 $12,043.34 $12,055.36 +$386.50
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $15.52 776 $12,047.40
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 776 $12,807.88 $12,815.84 +$760.48
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:20am ET $16.33 785 $12,815.13
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.12 785 $12,654.20 $12,654.92 $-160.92
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $18.35 689 $12,646.59
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $18.16 689 $12,508.80 $12,517.12 $-137.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $18.54 675 $12,514.50
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 675 $12,141.09 $12,143.71 $-373.41
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.09 710 $12,133.47
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $16.80 710 $11,924.45 $11,934.69 $-209.02
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET $17.02 701 $11,934.52
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.95 701 $11,881.95 $11,882.12 $-52.57
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.48 721 $11,878.48
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $16.49 721 $11,889.29 $11,892.93 +$10.81
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $16.27 730 $11,877.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $16.08 730 $11,738.47 $11,754.30 $-138.63
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $15.88 740 $11,747.50
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $16.88 740 $12,491.20 $12,498.00 +$743.70
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $17.28 723 $12,493.37
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $17.17 723 $12,417.52 $12,422.16 $-75.84
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.79 698 $12,416.72
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $17.55 698 $12,249.90 $12,255.34 $-166.82
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,255.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,255.34
Total Return: +22.55%
Back to Anchor