Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:32:20

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 11.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.4

30-Day Momentum

10
-11.8%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,032.27
Current Value
$7,083.09
Period P&L
$-949.18
Max Drawdown
-30.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
2 / 12
Best Trade
+8.37%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
3.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,365.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-949.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-949.18
Gross Return
-11.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,032.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $175.86 45 $7,913.70
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $172.87 45 $7,779.15 $7,897.72 $-134.55
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $192.86 40 $7,714.40
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $190.69 40 $7,627.60 $7,810.92 $-86.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $217.37 35 $7,607.95
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $214.88 35 $7,520.80 $7,723.77 $-87.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $226.50 34 $7,701.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $231.18 34 $7,860.12 $7,882.89 +$159.12
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $215.60 36 $7,761.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $211.67 36 $7,620.12 $7,741.41 $-141.48
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $256.33 30 $7,689.90
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $277.78 30 $8,333.40 $8,384.91 +$643.50
(+8.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $248.50 33 $8,200.50
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $245.54 33 $8,102.82 $8,287.23 $-97.68
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $225.61 36 $8,121.81
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $220.60 36 $7,941.64 $8,107.06 $-180.17
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $216.71 37 $8,018.27
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $214.50 37 $7,936.50 $8,025.29 $-81.77
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $190.67 42 $8,008.14
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $184.22 42 $7,737.24 $7,754.39 $-270.90
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $197.90 39 $7,717.91
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $195.83 39 $7,637.56 $7,674.04 $-80.35
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $237.68 32 $7,605.76
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $233.61 32 $7,475.52 $7,543.80 $-130.24
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $265.45 28 $7,432.46
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $258.39 28 $7,234.78 $7,346.12 $-197.68
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $247.02 29 $7,163.72
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $237.96 29 $6,900.70 $7,083.09 $-263.03
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,083.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,916.91
Total Return: -29.17%
Back to Anchor