Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:32:19

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.6%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,190.19
Current Value
$7,022.77
Period P&L
$-167.41
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+3.55%
Worst Trade
-1.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
17.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,433.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-167.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-167.41
Gross Return
-2.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,190.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $38.64 184 $7,109.76
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $38.99 184 $7,174.16 $7,200.30 +$64.40
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $37.84 190 $7,189.60
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $37.43 190 $7,111.70 $7,122.40 $-77.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $37.32 190 $7,090.82
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $37.13 190 $7,054.70 $7,086.28 $-36.12
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $36.82 192 $7,069.44
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $36.47 192 $7,002.24 $7,019.08 $-67.20
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:25am ET $36.39 192 $6,986.88
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $35.91 192 $6,895.39 $6,927.59 $-91.49
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $35.97 192 $6,906.24
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $36.13 192 $6,936.96 $6,958.31 +$30.72
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET $36.68 189 $6,932.80
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $36.31 189 $6,862.12 $6,887.62 $-70.69
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $38.15 180 $6,866.98
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $38.23 180 $6,881.40 $6,902.04 +$14.42
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $38.25 180 $6,885.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $37.77 180 $6,798.60 $6,815.64 $-86.40
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $39.28 173 $6,794.58
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $40.67 173 $7,035.91 $7,056.97 +$241.33
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $38.78 181 $7,019.18
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET $38.31 181 $6,934.11 $6,971.90 $-85.07
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $36.49 191 $6,969.55
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $36.52 191 $6,975.32 $6,977.67 +$5.77
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:15am ET $36.98 188 $6,952.24
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.22 188 $6,997.34 $7,022.77 +$45.10
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,022.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,977.23
Total Return: -29.77%
Back to Anchor