Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:34:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.4

30-Day Momentum

33
+3.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.1 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,174.81
Current Value
$11,450.27
Period P&L
$275.46
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+3.15%
Worst Trade
-1.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$273,070.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$275.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$275.46
Gross Return
+2.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,174.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $440.00 25 $11,000.10
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $448.28 25 $11,207.00 $11,285.06 +$206.90
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $447.38 25 $11,184.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $445.31 25 $11,132.75 $11,233.31 $-51.75
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $448.24 25 $11,206.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $462.37 25 $11,559.25 $11,586.56 +$353.25
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $482.22 24 $11,573.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 24 $11,781.12 $11,794.40 +$207.84
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $489.20 24 $11,740.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $484.26 24 $11,622.24 $11,675.84 $-118.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $471.65 24 $11,319.72
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $476.85 24 $11,444.40 $11,800.52 +$124.68
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $474.86 24 $11,396.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $469.77 24 $11,274.48 $11,678.24 $-122.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $470.91 24 $11,301.84
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $474.59 24 $11,390.16 $11,766.56 +$88.32
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $488.79 24 $11,730.84
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $483.06 24 $11,593.47 $11,629.19 $-137.37
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $473.99 24 $11,375.76
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $469.10 24 $11,258.40 $11,511.83 $-117.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $471.43 24 $11,314.32
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $474.20 24 $11,380.80 $11,578.31 +$66.48
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $466.89 24 $11,205.36
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $461.55 24 $11,077.32 $11,450.27 $-128.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,450.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,450.27
Total Return: +14.50%
Back to Anchor