Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 06:35:40

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
10.1/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 35.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.9

30-Day Momentum

18
+0.5%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.1 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,011.66
Current Value
$11,976.40
Period P&L
$-35.25
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+3.41%
Worst Trade
-1.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,565.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-35.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-35.25
Gross Return
-0.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,011.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $175.93 67 $11,787.31
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $176.38 67 $11,817.46 $11,944.99 +$30.15
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $180.97 66 $11,944.02
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $183.05 66 $12,081.30 $12,082.27 +$137.28
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $184.56 65 $11,996.40
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $185.22 65 $12,039.30 $12,125.17 +$42.90
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $190.30 63 $11,988.90
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $192.13 63 $12,104.19 $12,240.46 +$115.29
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $197.03 62 $12,215.86
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $197.54 62 $12,247.48 $12,272.08 +$31.62
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $191.53 64 $12,257.92
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $188.53 64 $12,065.92 $12,080.08 $-192.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $185.60 65 $12,064.00
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $183.61 65 $11,934.65 $11,950.73 $-129.35
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $178.24 67 $11,942.08
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $176.35 67 $11,815.12 $11,823.76 $-126.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $183.69 64 $11,756.16
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.95 64 $12,156.80 $12,224.40 +$400.64
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 64 $12,224.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $189.08 64 $12,101.12 $12,101.52 $-122.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $188.68 64 $12,075.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.72 64 $11,950.08 $11,976.40 $-125.12
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,976.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,976.40
Total Return: +19.76%
Back to Anchor