SPY Anchor's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 56 trades in period
+2.31%
Last Year Return
$10,039.08
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,812.65
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
1.2/25
Win Rate
9.6/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
17.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 17.4
30-Day Momentum
29
+1.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.7
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,695
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,812.65
Current Value
$10,039.08
Period P&L
$226.43
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
35 /
21
Best Trade
+1.21%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
17.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$412,349.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$226.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$226.43
Gross Return
+2.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,812.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 2:05pm ET | $556.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 2:35pm ET | $559.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,868.92 |
+$56.27 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $586.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $582.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,809.40 |
$-59.52 (-0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $584.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 2:05pm ET | $587.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,860.84 |
+$51.44 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET | $591.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $599.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,975.88 |
+$115.04 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 2:35pm ET | $596.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $601.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,063.88 |
+$88.00 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $593.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $595.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,094.52 |
+$30.64 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $593.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $595.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,136.68 |
+$42.16 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 2:50pm ET | $611.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 3:50pm ET | $614.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,185.16 |
+$48.48 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 2:25pm ET | $617.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $620.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,229.80 |
+$44.64 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $632.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $639.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,341.96 |
+$112.16 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $627.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 12:30pm ET | $629.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,378.22 |
+$36.26 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 1:25pm ET | $630.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $632.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,414.54 |
+$36.32 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:20am ET | $646.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 3:20pm ET | $647.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,422.78 |
+$8.24 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $654.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 3:00pm ET | $658.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,482.48 |
+$59.70 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $666.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 12:55pm ET | $659.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,379.13 |
$-103.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $662.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 2:50pm ET | $665.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,416.93 |
+$37.80 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:25pm ET | $662.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $660.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,387.23 |
$-29.70 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $665.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 3:30pm ET | $667.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,426.68 |
+$39.45 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $683.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $687.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,482.93 |
+$56.25 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 11:45am ET | $669.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 2:00pm ET | $672.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,522.38 |
+$39.45 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET | $672.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $663.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,384.08 |
$-138.30 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET | $666.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $662.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,329.18 |
$-54.90 (-0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $657.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $660.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,376.43 |
+$47.25 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $659.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:35pm ET | $662.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,429.23 |
+$52.80 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $669.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $662.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,323.63 |
$-105.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $681.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 1:10pm ET | $683.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,352.58 |
+$28.95 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET | $673.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $677.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,414.08 |
+$61.50 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $678.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $680.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,432.38 |
+$18.30 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $678.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $684.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,522.83 |
+$90.45 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $689.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET | $689.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,529.58 |
+$6.75 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $689.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $690.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,552.08 |
+$22.50 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $684.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $687.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,588.83 |
+$36.75 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $676.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $679.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,622.43 |
+$33.60 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $690.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $693.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,660.30 |
+$37.87 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $688.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $681.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,556.50 |
$-103.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $673.80 | 15 | $10,107.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $666.94 | 15 | $10,004.10 | $10,453.60 |
$-102.90 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $680.23 | 15 | $10,203.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $677.82 | 15 | $10,167.30 | $10,417.45 |
$-36.15 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $670.55 | 15 | $10,058.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $669.88 | 15 | $10,048.20 | $10,407.40 |
$-10.05 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $668.36 | 15 | $10,025.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $672.15 | 15 | $10,082.25 | $10,464.25 |
+$56.85 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $668.79 | 15 | $10,031.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $661.79 | 15 | $9,926.85 | $10,359.25 |
$-105.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $656.42 | 15 | $9,846.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $649.23 | 15 | $9,738.45 | $10,251.40 |
$-107.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $657.47 | 15 | $9,862.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $650.93 | 15 | $9,763.91 | $10,153.26 |
$-98.14 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $656.63 | 15 | $9,849.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $651.45 | 15 | $9,771.75 | $10,075.56 |
$-77.70 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $642.38 | 15 | $9,635.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $635.91 | 15 | $9,538.65 | $9,978.51 |
$-97.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $633.38 | 15 | $9,500.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $639.36 | 15 | $9,590.40 | $10,068.21 |
+$89.70 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $656.73 | 15 | $9,850.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $646.86 | 15 | $9,702.90 | $9,920.16 |
$-148.05 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $656.84 | 15 | $9,852.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $656.80 | 15 | $9,852.00 | $9,919.56 |
$-0.60 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $672.60 | 14 | $9,416.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $674.90 | 14 | $9,448.60 | $9,951.76 |
+$32.20 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $680.16 | 14 | $9,522.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $677.71 | 14 | $9,487.94 | $9,917.46 |
$-34.30 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $692.96 | 14 | $9,701.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $695.29 | 14 | $9,734.06 | $9,950.15 |
+$32.69 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $698.61 | 14 | $9,780.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $706.49 | 14 | $9,890.86 | $10,060.47 |
+$110.32 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $709.06 | 14 | $9,926.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $710.28 | 14 | $9,943.92 | $10,077.55 |
+$17.08 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $709.72 | 14 | $9,936.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $709.35 | 14 | $9,930.86 | $10,072.40 |
$-5.15 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $712.98 | 14 | $9,981.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $713.14 | 14 | $9,983.96 | $10,074.64 |
+$2.24 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $711.09 | 14 | $9,955.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $710.53 | 14 | $9,947.49 | $10,066.90 |
$-7.74 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $722.25 | 13 | $9,389.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $720.11 | 13 | $9,361.43 | $10,039.08 |
$-27.82 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,039.08
Net Profit/Loss:
+$39.08
Total Return:
+0.39%